THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 07 OCTOBERMATCHES 343EVENTS 34LIVE 3ALERTS 171
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-06 04:00

Michael Zheng v Nicolas Mejia

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
N. Mejia to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.81 or bigger · our chance 56% · market 79/21, us 74/26

N. Mejia is 4-6 over the last ten and 21-17 on hard this season. M. Zheng is 6-4 over the last ten and 23-12 on hard this season. N. Mejia retired from a match in the last month. The head to head is M. Zheng 1-0.

The pick is N. Mejia to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 56% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.81 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. ZhengN. Mejia
92Ranking168
6-4Last 104-6
WLWLLLast 5WLLLL
-1.1V the odds+0.6
31-17Season34-24
23-12Hard 202621-17
3Last 7 days1
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessretired
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. ZhengFAV1.2179%
N. Mejia4.6721%
Market says79% Zheng

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Zheng1
N. Mejia1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-06ShanghaiM. ZhengvN. Mejia0 - 2
2026-07-01WimbledonN. MejiavM. Zheng1 - 3

This season & this event

M. Zheng
N. Mejia
31-19
23-14
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
35-24
22-17
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Michael Zheng
USA
Nicolas Mejia
Colombia
92
22
USA
30–17
0
22–12
3–2
5–3
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
116
26
Colombia
34–24
2
16–17
11–4
5–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Zheng — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardY. Wu2 - 02.1956%LOST
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardN. Mejia0 - 21.2179%LOST
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardF. A. Gomez2 - 11.1285%WON
2026-10-01JingshanHardY. Erel0 - 21.1779%LOST
2026-09-29JingshanHardY. Zeng2 - 01.0292%WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardY. Bu2 - 01.6459%LOST
2026-09-19TiburonHardDar. Blanch0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-18TiburonHardM. Krueger2 - 0——WON
2026-09-17TiburonHardT. Svajda2 - 0——WON
2026-09-16TiburonHardE. Zhu2 - 1——WON

N. Mejia — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardM. Zheng0 - 24.6779%WON
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardC. H. Tseng0 - 1 RET2.3158%WON
2026-09-21St. TropezHardU. Blanchet0 - 0 RET——LOST
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryT. Griekspoor2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardL. Draxl1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-20Cancun 2HardC. Ugo Carabelli2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardA. Walton2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-13CincinnatiHardJ. Fearnley2 - 1——WON
2026-08-13CincinnatiHardH. Rocha1 - 2——WON
2026-08-05MontrealHardL. Musetti0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Michael Zheng or Nicolas Mejia?

Michael Zheng is favourite at 1.21, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Michael Zheng vs Nicolas Mejia?

Michael Zheng is 1.21 and Nicolas Mejia is 4.67, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Michael Zheng and Nicolas Mejia?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Michael Zheng vs Nicolas Mejia?

Our model makes it Nicolas Mejia to win a set (Lean confidence).

Also at this event