Liam Draxl v Nikoloz Basilashvili
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONN. Basilashvili is 6-4 over the last ten and 13-15 on hard this season. L. Draxl is 5-5 over the last ten and 25-17 on hard this season. N. Basilashvili took a medical timeout on 2026-09-28. N. Basilashvili retired from a match in the last month.
The pick is N. Basilashvili to win. We make it a 61% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.63 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. Draxl | N. Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| 132 | Ranking | 145 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WLWWL | Last 5 | WLWWW |
| -0.0 | V the odds | +2.7 |
| 34-23 | Season | 25-29 |
| 25-17 | Hard 2026 | 13-15 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTOretired |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai | L. DraxlvN. Basilashvili | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. Draxl — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai | Hard | N. Basilashvili | 1 - 2 | 2.24 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | H. Gaston | 0 - 2 | 2.24 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | H. Searle | 2 - 1 | 1.65 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | J. Kennedy | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | A. Rinderknech | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | T. Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | A. Johnson | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | N. Mejia | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | A. Andrade | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | D. Merida Aguilar | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
N. Basilashvili — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Mannarino | 1 - 0 RET | 1.97 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai | Hard | L. Draxl | 1 - 2 | 1.68 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Ilagan | 1 - 2 | 1.42 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Chengdu | Hard | J. Brooksby | 0 - 2 | 2.06 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 | 2.68 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | Chengdu | Hard | M. Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | 2.38 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | F. Cina | 2 - 0 | 2.56 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Chengdu | Hard | H. Lu | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-15 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | N. Honda | 1 - 1 RET | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Liam Draxl or Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Nikoloz Basilashvili is favourite at 1.68, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Liam Draxl is 2.24 and Nikoloz Basilashvili is 1.68, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Liam Draxl and Nikoloz Basilashvili?
They have met 1 time and Nikoloz Basilashvili leads 1-0.
Who will win Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Our model makes it Nikoloz Basilashvili to win at 1.68 (Lean confidence).