THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 07 OCTOBERMATCHES 343EVENTS 34LIVE 3ALERTS 171
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-06 04:00

Bernard Tomic v Timofey Skatov

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
T. Skatov to win2.09
Worth backing at 1.92 or bigger · our chance 52% · market 54/46, us 48/52

T. Skatov is 5-5 over the last ten and 16-11 on hard this season. B. Tomic is 7-3 over the last ten and 27-18 on hard this season. B. Tomic withdrew from a match in the last month.

The pick is T. Skatov to win. We make it a 52% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.92 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

B. TomicT. Skatov
184Ranking235
7-3Last 105-5
WWWLWLast 5WWWLL
+0.9V the odds+0.6
32-24Season34-29
27-18Hard 202616-11
3Last 7 days1
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
withdrewFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

B. TomicFAV1.7854%
T. Skatov2.0946%
Market says54% Tomic

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

B. Tomic1
T. Skatov0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-06ShanghaiB. TomicvT. Skatov2 - 0

This season & this event

B. Tomic
T. Skatov
33-24
28-18
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
34-30
16-12
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Bernard Tomic
Australia
Timofey Skatov
Kazakhstan
185
33
Australia
32–24
1
27–18
2–2
3–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
235
25
Kazakhstan
4–1
0
4–1
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

B. Tomic — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardT. Skatov2 - 01.7854%WON
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardT. Atmane1 - 1 RET3.3171%WON
2026-10-01JingshanHardY. Shimizu1 - 21.6061%WON
2026-09-29JingshanHardF. Sun2 - 11.6857%WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardF. Sun0 - 21.4663%LOST
2026-09-22HangzhouHardR. Te2 - 1——WON
2026-09-19Guangzhou 2HardP. Kotov2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-18Guangzhou 2HardA. Binda2 - 0——WON
2026-09-17Guangzhou 2HardJa. Delaney2 - 0——WON
2026-09-15Guangzhou 2HardY. Kikuchi2 - 0——WON

T. Skatov — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardB. Tomic2 - 02.0954%LOST
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardS. Sakellaridis2 - 02.6464%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryM. Jones2 - 1——WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryK. Samrej2 - 0——WON
2026-09-08IstanbulClayY. Erel0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardG. Dimitrov0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-25US OpenHardG. A. Bailly2 - 0——WON
2026-08-20Cancun 2HardG. Onclin2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-03HagenClayA. Barrena2 - 0——LOST
2026-07-31San MarinoClayJ. P. Varillas2 - 0——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Bernard Tomic or Timofey Skatov?

Bernard Tomic is favourite at 1.78, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Bernard Tomic vs Timofey Skatov?

Bernard Tomic is 1.78 and Timofey Skatov is 2.09, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Bernard Tomic and Timofey Skatov?

They have met 1 time and Bernard Tomic leads 1-0.

Who will win Bernard Tomic vs Timofey Skatov?

Our model makes it Timofey Skatov to win at 2.09 (Solid confidence).

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