Michael Mmoh v Luca Nardi
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongM. Mmoh is 6-4 over the last ten and 31-15 on hard this season. L. Nardi is 5-5 over the last ten and 12-11 on hard this season. The head to head is M. Mmoh 1-0.
The pick is M. Mmoh to win. We make it a 62% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.63 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Mmoh | L. Nardi | |
|---|---|---|
| 285 | Ranking | 151 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WWLLW | Last 5 | WWLLL |
| +1.1 | V the odds | -0.5 |
| 32-20 | Season | 16-19 |
| 31-15 | Hard 2026 | 12-11 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 2 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-24 | Yokohama Challenger Men | M. MmohvL. Nardi | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Mmoh — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Olbia | Hard | D. Rincon | 2 - 0 | 1.85 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Olbia | Hard | L. Djere | 2 - 0 | 2.21 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | L. Djere | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | Tiburon | Hard | Dar. Blanch | 2 - 1 | 1.93 | 50% | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | Tiburon | Hard | J.J. Wolf | 2 - 0 | 2.36 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | Tiburon | Hard | A. Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | 1.60 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | Tiburon | Hard | P. Maloney | 0 - 2 | 1.27 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Tiburon | Hard | K. Sell | 0 - 2 | 1.21 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | H. Rocha | 2 - 0 | 2.42 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-08-11 | Brownsburg (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | E. Butvilas | 0 - 2 | 2.01 | 52% | LOST |
L. Nardi — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Olbia | Hard | L. Carboni | 2 - 0 | 1.30 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Olbia | Hard | A. Holmgren | 2 - 1 | 1.94 | 50% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Villena | Clay | P. Llamas Ruiz | 2 - 0 | 2.33 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | F. Cina | 0 - 1 RET | 2.65 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-07-11 | Umag | clay | A. Guerrieri | 0 - 2 | 1.74 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-06-24 | Wimbledon | Grass | O. Virtanen | 0 - 2 | 3.78 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-06-22 | Wimbledon | Grass | R. Noguchi | 0 - 2 | 1.60 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-06-15 | Nottingham | Grass | R. Bertola | 1 - 2 | 1.60 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-06-14 | Nottingham | Grass | G. Hussey | 2 - 0 | 1.52 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-06-13 | Nottingham | Grass | O. Weightman | 2 - 1 | 1.11 | 85% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Michael Mmoh or Luca Nardi?
Michael Mmoh is favourite at 1.78, which is a 55% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi?
Michael Mmoh is 1.78 and Luca Nardi is 2.14, the prices we recorded for the Olbia match.
What is the head-to-head between Michael Mmoh and Luca Nardi?
They have met 1 time and Michael Mmoh leads 1-0.
Who will win Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi?
Our model makes it Michael Mmoh to win at 1.78 (Strong confidence).