THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 16 OCTOBERMATCHES 147EVENTS 38LIVE 21ALERTS 44
ChallengerHardOlbia · Quarter-finals2026-10-16 11:00

Tom Gentzsch v Damir Dzumhur

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
D. Dzumhur to win1.91
Price too short today - wait for 1.92 or bigger · our chance 52% · market 49/51, us 48/52

D. Dzumhur is 5-5 over the last ten and 9-13 on hard this season. T. Gentzsch is 6-4 over the last ten and 21-9 on hard this season. T. Gentzsch took a medical timeout on 2026-10-15.

The pick is D. Dzumhur to win. We make it a 52% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.92 or bigger. At 1.91 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. GentzschD. Dzumhur
289Ranking103
6-4Last 105-5
WWLWLLast 5WWLWL
+0.9V the odds-0.2
47-27Season22-29
21-9Hard 20269-13
2Last 7 days2
2dDays rest2d
2Wins here2
MTOFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. Gentzsch1.9849%
D. DzumhurFAV1.9151%
Market says51% Dzumhur

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

T. Gentzsch
D. Dzumhur
47-28
21-10
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
23-29
10-13
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Tom Gentzsch
Germany
Damir Dzumhur
Bosnia and Herzegovina
289
23
Germany
2–1
0
2–1
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
103
34
Bosnia and Herzegovina
20–29
0
4–11
13–16
2–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. Gentzsch — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-16OlbiaHardD. Dzumhur0 - 21.9851%LOST
2026-10-14OlbiaHardG. Kravchenko2 - 11.5064%WON
2026-10-13OlbiaHardN. Visker2 - 11.5463%WON
2026-09-23Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayC. A. Caniato2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-21Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayE. Dalla Valle0 - 21.6057%WON
2026-09-18SzczecinClayL. Mikrut1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-16SzczecinClayM. Krumich2 - 01.5759%WON
2026-09-14SzczecinClayA. Wazny2 - 11.1981%WON
2026-09-08GenovaClayM. Giunta2 - 01.4567%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardF. Passaro2 - 01.8652%LOST

D. Dzumhur — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-16OlbiaHardT. Gentzsch0 - 21.9151%WON
2026-10-14OlbiaHardD. Kuzmanov1 - 21.6160%WON
2026-10-12OlbiaHardA. Dougaz1 - 21.6758%WON
2026-10-08VillenaClayA. Shelbayh1 - 2——LOST
2026-10-06VillenaClayG. Kravchenko2 - 01.4766%WON
2026-09-28PortoClayM. Echargui2 - 01.6559%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryK. Montsi0 - 21.4066%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardH. Hurkacz1 - 38.5189%LOST
2026-08-06Grodzisk MazowieckiHardM. Erhard0 - 21.2278%LOST
2026-08-04Grodzisk MazowieckiHardG. Blancaneaux2 - 01.3272%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Tom Gentzsch or Damir Dzumhur?

Damir Dzumhur is favourite at 1.91, which is a 51% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Tom Gentzsch vs Damir Dzumhur?

Tom Gentzsch is 1.98 and Damir Dzumhur is 1.91, the prices we recorded for the Olbia match.

Who will win Tom Gentzsch vs Damir Dzumhur?

Our model makes it Damir Dzumhur to win at 1.91 (Lean confidence).

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