THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 16 OCTOBERMATCHES 147EVENTS 38LIVE 21ALERTS 44
ChallengerHardOlbia2026-10-16 11:00

Maks Kasnikowski v Stefano Travaglia

Match preview, prediction and odds

FinishedServing: —
PlayerSet 1Set 2PtsPreLive
M. Kasnikowski
671.67▼1.04
S. TravagliaRET x1 in 90d
252.33▲13.00
Momentum
3/6
3/6

Not enough games yet to read the run of play. Live prices refresh every 20 seconds.

Our pick

Strong
M. Kasnikowski to win1.67
Worth backing at 1.54 or bigger · our chance 65% · market 58/42, us 65/35

M. Kasnikowski is 6-4 over the last ten and 17-10 on hard this season. S. Travaglia is 3-7 over the last ten and 13-9 on hard this season. The head to head is M. Kasnikowski 1-0.

The pick is M. Kasnikowski to win. We make it a 65% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.54 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. KasnikowskiS. Travaglia
235Ranking158
6-4Last 103-7
WWLLLLast 5WWLLL
+0.5V the odds-2.2
44-26Season29-26
17-10Hard 202613-9
2Last 7 days2
2dDays rest2d
2Wins here2
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. KasnikowskiFAV1.6758%
S. Travaglia2.3342%
Market says58% Kasnikowski

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Kasnikowski1
S. Travaglia0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2023-06-28Modena Challenger MenS. TravagliavM. Kasnikowski0 - 2

This season & this event

M. Kasnikowski
S. Travaglia
44-26
17-10
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
29-26
13-9
Lost R32 to L. van Assche
Lost R16 to M. Landaluce

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Maks Kasnikowski
Poland
Stefano Travaglia
Italy
235
23
Poland
42–25
1
20–12
21–12
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
158
34
Italy
27–24
1
11–7
15–16
1–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Kasnikowski — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-14OlbiaHardA. Guerrieri0 - 22.4460%WON
2026-10-12OlbiaHardC. Cretu2 - 01.3472%WON
2026-10-06VillenaClayP. Henning2 - 01.7655%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryA. De Minaur2 - 07.6088%LOST
2026-09-12IstanbulClayJ. D. Hara Friend0 - 21.9051%LOST
2026-09-11IstanbulClayF. Maestrelli1 - 21.8054%WON
2026-09-09IstanbulClayC. Langmo0 - 21.2577%WON
2026-09-07IstanbulClayI. Marrero Curbelo1 - 21.2477%WON
2026-09-03MallorcaHardA. Sanchez Quilez0 - 21.6257%LOST
2026-09-02MallorcaHardE. Moller1 - 21.6359%WON

S. Travaglia — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-14OlbiaHardV. Royer2 - 03.5072%WON
2026-10-13OlbiaHardV. Durasovic2 - 11.4169%WON
2026-09-21Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayM. Moeller1 - 21.7054%LOST
2026-09-14SzczecinClayT. Monteiro2 - 02.0453%LOST
2026-09-10GenovaClayE. Dalla Valle2 - 11.8353%LOST
2026-09-08GenovaClayS. Napolitano0 - 21.7156%WON
2026-08-24US OpenHardH. Wendelken2 - 12.2958%LOST
2026-08-11TodiClayN. Kicker1 - 1 RET1.3173%LOST
2026-08-04HagenClayM. Dodig0 - 21.8751%LOST
2026-07-28BonnClayM. H. Rehberg2 - 02.2457%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Maks Kasnikowski or Stefano Travaglia?

Maks Kasnikowski is favourite at 1.67, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Maks Kasnikowski vs Stefano Travaglia?

Maks Kasnikowski is 1.67 and Stefano Travaglia is 2.33, the prices we recorded for the Olbia match.

What is the head-to-head between Maks Kasnikowski and Stefano Travaglia?

They have met 1 time and Maks Kasnikowski leads 1-0.

Who will win Maks Kasnikowski vs Stefano Travaglia?

Our model makes it Maks Kasnikowski to win at 1.67 (Strong confidence).

Also at this event