ChallengerHardChallenger2026-10-14 → 2026-10-17
Olbia 2026
33 players, 13 singles matches on our card, hard court. Title chances, the field, who is in form and who is carrying something - with a preview of every match.
Title chances
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price | Market | Edge | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fearnley 1 | 40.8% | 2.4 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Dzumhur 2 | 21.5% | 4.6 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Mmoh 4 | 14.7% | 6.8 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kasnikowski | 12.4% | 8.1 | — | — | — | — |
| S. Travaglia | 4.8% | 20.7 | — | — | — | — |
| L. Nardi | 4.1% | 24.6 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Mrva | 1.7% | 60.0 | — | — | — | — |
From the published draw and our ratings, worked out exactly round by round rather than simulated. The fair price is ours, before any margin. No outright prices recorded for this event yet.
Conditions
Hard court
Fast. Servers win 63% of points here (+2.1 points against the level average); 15% of sets reach a tiebreak; 9.8 games a set. Measured from 55 matches played here, not a surface label.
Last year
L. van Assche beat P. Carreno-Busta 2 - 1
The champion is not in this year's field.
Players to watch
In form
Wins above what the prices expected, last 35 days
Carrying something
J. Fearnley
RET x1 in last 3
H. Barton
RET x1 in last 3MTO 14d
M. McDonald
RET x1 in last 3MTO 14d
M. Erhard
RET x1 in 90dMTO 14d
G. Loffhagen
MTO 14d
M. Mrva
1st back · 261d out
Retirements, walkovers, medical timeouts and long layoffs
Matches to come
| When | Match | Price | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 11:00 | M. MmohvL. Nardi | 1.78 | 2.14 |
| 10-17 11:00 | M. KasnikowskivD. Dzumhur | — | — |
Results so far
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 | T. GentzschvD. Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | |
| 10-16 | M. KasnikowskivS. Travaglia | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-15 | M. MrvavF. Maestrelli | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-15 | J. FearnleyvJ. Kumstat | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-14 | L. NardivL. Carboni | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-14 | D. KuzmanovvD. Dzumhur | 1 - 2 | |
| 10-14 | T. GentzschvG. Kravchenko | 2 - 1 | |
| 10-14 | S. TravagliavV. Royer | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-14 | M. MmohvD. Rincon | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-14 | A. GuerrierivM. Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 |