ChallengerHardBrest · 1/16-finals2026-10-27 10:00

Martin Damm v Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Strong

S. Gueymard Wayenburg to win2.50

Worth backing at 2.29 or bigger · our chance 44% · market 63/37, us 56/44

S. Gueymard Wayenburg is 7-3 over the last ten and 22-15 on hard this season. M. Damm is 3-7 over the last ten and 28-21 on hard this season.

The pick is S. Gueymard Wayenburg to win. We make it a 44% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.29 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. Damm		S. Gueymard Wayenburg
104	Ranking	218
3-7	Last 10	7-3
LWLWL	Last 5	LLWWL
-1.7	V the odds	+1.3
34-29	Season	30-27
28-21	Hard 2026	22-15
1	Last 7 days	0
6d	Days rest	9d
0	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. DammFAV1.4463%

S. Gueymard Wayenburg2.5037%

Market says63% Damm

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

M. DammLWLWL

S. Gueymard WayenburgLLWWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

M. Damm

S. Gueymard Wayenburg

34-29

28-21

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

30-27

22-15

Lost R16 to D. Added

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Martin Damm

USA

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

France

104

USA

32–28

18–17

7–6

7–5

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

218

France

28–25

17–10

11–15

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Damm — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-21	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	F. Cerundolo	2.49	61%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-7 DammCerundoloPoints won46%54%Serve points won64%71%Return points won29%36%Games held9 of 1110 of 11Break points saved0 of 26 of 7Aces912Double faults44
2026-10-19	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	Y. Hanfmann	2.04	52%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-3 DammHanfmannPoints won57%43%Serve points won81%67%Return points won33%19%Games held11 of 118 of 10Break points saved0 of 03 of 5Aces118Double faults23
2026-10-18	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	A. Guerrieri	1.35	71%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 7-6 3-6 DammGuerrieriPoints won48%52%Serve points won62%65%Return points won35%38%Games held13 of 1714 of 16Break points saved5 of 97 of 9Aces1413Double faults65
2026-10-17	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	B. Gadamauri	1.17	82%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-4 DammGadamauriPoints won59%41%Serve points won74%60%Return points won40%26%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved5 of 51 of 4Aces75Double faults03
2026-10-05	Shanghai	Hard	P. Kotov	1.42	68%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 7-6 3-6 DammKotovPoints won47%53%Serve points won71%78%Return points won22%29%Games held15 of 1716 of 16Break points saved4 of 62 of 2Aces279Double faults22
2026-09-28	Tokyo	Hard	A. Fils	—	—	LOST
Games in each set6-2 1-6 1-6 DammFilsPoints won43%57%Serve points won54%71%Return points won29%46%Games held6 of 119 of 11Break points saved4 of 91 of 3Aces86Double faults02
2026-09-26	Chengdu	Hard	H. Hurkacz	3.19	69%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 3-6 4-6 DammHurkaczPoints won46%54%Serve points won65%73%Return points won27%35%Games held11 of 1413 of 15Break points saved2 of 54 of 6Aces1813Double faults32
2026-09-24	Chengdu	Hard	S. Mochizuki	1.56	62%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-4 DammMochizukiPoints won58%42%Serve points won65%51%Return points won49%35%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved4 of 52 of 6Aces135Double faults22
2026-09-01	US Open	Hard	F. Tiafoe	4.47	78%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-4 6-3 3-6 4-6 DammTiafoePoints won50%50%Serve points won66%66%Return points won34%34%Games held21 of 2422 of 24Break points saved6 of 94 of 6Aces2812Double faults116
2026-08-27	Winston-Salem	Hard	F. Marozsan	2.14	55%	LOST
Games in each set6-2 3-6 3-6 DammMarozsanPoints won49%51%Serve points won65%67%Return points won33%35%Games held10 of 1311 of 13Break points saved1 of 44 of 6Aces115Double faults52

S. Gueymard Wayenburg — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-18	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	K. Jacquet	2.21	56%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 5-7 WayenburgJacquetPoints won44%56%Serve points won56%68%Return points won32%44%Games held6 of 109 of 11Break points saved5 of 92 of 4Aces77Double faults10
2026-10-16	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	M. Martineau	1.39	70%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 WayenburgMartineauPoints won42%58%Serve points won55%72%Return points won28%45%Games held6 of 99 of 10Break points saved4 of 73 of 4Aces106Double faults33
2026-10-14	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	C. Tabur	1.62	60%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 WayenburgTaburPoints won54%46%Serve points won71%67%Return points won33%29%Games held10 of 118 of 10Break points saved9 of 100 of 2Aces105Double faults72
2026-10-12	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	L. Broady	1.38	70%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 WayenburgBroadyPoints won58%42%Serve points won82%60%Return points won40%18%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved2 of 22 of 4Aces115Double faults01
2026-10-04	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	C. Chidekh	2.18	56%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 0-6 WayenburgChidekhPoints won34%66%Serve points won43%78%Return points won22%57%Games held2 of 77 of 7Break points saved4 of 90 of 0Aces61Double faults20
2026-10-03	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	J. J. Schwaerzler	1.70	57%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 WayenburgSchwaerzlerPoints won60%40%Serve points won84%60%Return points won40%16%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 02 of 5Aces125Double faults00
2026-10-02	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	C. Tabur	1.67	58%	WON
Games in each set2-6 6-3 6-4 WayenburgTaburPoints won51%49%Serve points won66%65%Return points won35%34%Games held11 of 1410 of 13Break points saved5 of 83 of 6Aces96Double faults41
2026-10-01	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	G. Onclin	1.57	61%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-4 WayenburgOnclinPoints won60%40%Serve points won67%49%Return points won51%33%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved5 of 64 of 8Aces102Double faults10
2026-09-28	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	P. Herbert	1.50	62%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-5 WayenburgHerbertPoints won53%47%Serve points won72%64%Return points won36%28%Games held11 of 119 of 11Break points saved5 of 56 of 8Aces106Double faults10
2026-09-20	Rennes	Hard (Indoor)	H. Mayot	2.36	59%	WON
Games in each set4-6 6-3 7-5 WayenburgMayotPoints won52%48%Serve points won66%65%Return points won35%34%Games held14 of 1612 of 15Break points saved7 of 96 of 9Aces135Double faults50

Common questions

Who is favourite, Martin Damm or Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg?

Martin Damm is favourite at 1.44, which is a 63% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Martin Damm vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg?

Martin Damm is 1.44 and Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg is 2.50, the prices we recorded for the Brest match.

Who will win Martin Damm vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg?

Our model makes it Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg to win at 2.50 (Strong confidence).

Also at this event

Diallo v Basavareddy Gaston v Glinka Grenier v Kouame Martineau v Virtanen Mochizuki v Cina Torre v Samuel