ChallengerHardBrest · 1/16-finals2026-10-27 10:00

Hugo Grenier v Moise Kouame

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

M. Kouame to win 2-02.00

Price too short today - wait for 2.33 or bigger · our chance 43% · market 30/70, us 27/73

M. Kouame is 5-5 over the last ten and 25-17 on hard this season. H. Grenier is 5-5 over the last ten and 10-17 on hard this season.

The pick is M. Kouame to win 2-0. We make it a 43% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.33 or bigger. At 2.00 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

H. Grenier		M. Kouame
269	Ranking	194
5-5	Last 10	5-5
LWWLL	Last 5	LWLWL
-0.8	V the odds	-0.8
17-26	Season	32-22
10-17	Hard 2026	25-17
3	Last 7 days	1
4d	Days rest	6d
0	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

H. Grenier3.1030%

M. KouameFAV1.3070%

Market says70% Kouame

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

H. GrenierLWWLL

M. KouameLWLWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

H. Grenier

M. Kouame

17-26

10-17

Lost R16 to A. Fery

Lost R16 to J. Paul

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

32-22

25-17

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Hugo Grenier

France

Moise Kouame

France

269

France

15–24

15–18

0–4

0–2

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

201

France

31–21

24–14

7–7

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

H. Grenier — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-23	M25 Redbridge (United Kingdom)	—	P. Jubb	2.00	52%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 6-1 6-7 GrenierJubbPoints won50%50%Serve points won56%56%Return points won44%44%Games held8 of 139 of 14Break points saved5 of 108 of 13
2026-10-22	M25 Redbridge (United Kingdom)	—	M. Walters	—	—	WON
Games in each set7-6 7-6 GrenierWaltersPoints won50%50%Serve points won62%62%Return points won38%38%Games held10 of 1210 of 14Break points saved8 of 100 of 2
2026-10-20	M25 Redbridge (United Kingdom)	—	P. A. Tailleu	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 GrenierTailleuPoints won54%46%Serve points won67%61%Return points won39%33%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved6 of 63 of 6
2026-10-12	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	B. Bonzi	3.75	74%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 1-6 3-6 GrenierBonziPoints won45%55%Serve points won59%67%Return points won33%41%Games held9 of 1413 of 14Break points saved8 of 134 of 5Aces155Double faults63
2026-10-05	Villena	Clay	G. Kravchenko	1.44	66%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6 GrenierKravchenkoPoints won45%55%Serve points won65%83%Return points won17%35%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved7 of 81 of 1Aces41Double faults20
2026-10-04	Villena	Clay	B. Pujol Navarro	1.02	89%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-3 GrenierNavarroPoints won57%43%Serve points won75%59%Return points won41%25%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved0 of 17 of 10Aces50Double faults34
2026-10-02	Porto	Clay	I. Montes-De La Torre	—	—	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-7 GrenierTorrePoints won45%55%Serve points won58%66%Return points won34%42%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved2 of 510 of 11Aces50Double faults67
2026-10-01	Porto	Clay	T. Pereira	1.70	57%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 GrenierPereiraPoints won51%49%Serve points won68%71%Return points won29%32%Games held11 of 119 of 10Break points saved2 of 20 of 1Aces130Double faults61
2026-09-29	Porto	Clay	C. E. Overbeck	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 GrenierOverbeckPoints won60%40%Serve points won71%51%Return points won49%29%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved2 of 32 of 6Aces71Double faults47
2026-09-22	St. Tropez	Hard	T. Faurel	—	—	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 GrenierFaurelPoints won46%54%Serve points won51%63%Return points won37%49%Games held5 of 107 of 10Break points saved10 of 150 of 3Aces61Double faults52

M. Kouame — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-21	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	L. Musetti		4.17	77%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 KouameMusettiPoints won45%55%Serve points won58%73%Return points won27%42%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved9 of 120 of 1Aces62Double faults30
2026-10-19	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	L. Sonego		2.52	61%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-4 KouameSonegoPoints won53%47%Serve points won70%66%Return points won34%30%Games held11 of 1110 of 11Break points saved5 of 51 of 2Aces35Double faults42
2026-10-15	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	N. Budkov Kjaer		2.12	54%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 2-6 KouameKjaerPoints won45%55%Serve points won48%58%Return points won42%52%Games held3 of 96 of 9Break points saved7 of 133 of 6Aces52Double faults32
2026-10-12	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	D. Dedura		1.33	73%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-4 KouameDeduraPoints won55%45%Serve points won61%55%Return points won45%39%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved6 of 73 of 7Aces20Double faults20
2026-09-30	Jingshan	Hard	A. Walton		2.78	65%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 4-6 KouameWaltonPoints won40%60%Serve points won48%71%Return points won29%52%Games held4 of 97 of 8Break points saved1 of 61 of 2Aces18Double faults90
2026-09-24	Chengdu	Hard	A. Muller		1.82	52%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 0-6 KouameMullerPoints won40%60%Serve points won50%71%Return points won29%50%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved3 of 73 of 3Aces43Double faults62
2026-09-19	Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification	Hard	R. Pacheco Mendez		1.72	55%	LOST
Games in each set6-2 3-6 4-6 KouameMendezPoints won50%50%Serve points won62%62%Return points won38%38%Games held10 of 1311 of 14Break points saved7 of 106 of 9Aces107Double faults92
2026-09-18	Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification	Hard	F. Bax		1.23	77%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 KouameBaxPoints won58%42%Serve points won69%52%Return points won48%31%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved3 of 47 of 11Aces34Double faults48
2026-09-17	Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification	Hard	F. Peliwo	RET	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-1 4-2 KouamePeliwoPoints won62%38%Serve points won68%46%Return points won54%32%Games held6 of 72 of 6Break points saved0 of 14 of 8Aces00Double faults00
2026-09-15	Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification	Hard	R. Matsuda		1.10	86%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-3 KouameMatsudaPoints won59%41%Serve points won69%50%Return points won50%31%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved1 of 15 of 9Aces65Double faults40

Common questions

Who is favourite, Hugo Grenier or Moise Kouame?

Moise Kouame is favourite at 1.30, which is a 70% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Hugo Grenier vs Moise Kouame?

Hugo Grenier is 3.10 and Moise Kouame is 1.30, the prices we recorded for the Brest match.

Who will win Hugo Grenier vs Moise Kouame?

Our model makes it Moise Kouame to win 2-0 at 2.00 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event

Damm v Wayenburg Diallo v Basavareddy Gaston v Glinka Martineau v Virtanen Mochizuki v Cina Torre v Samuel