Martin Damm v Pavel Kotov
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTM. Damm is 4-6 over the last ten and 26-18 on hard this season. P. Kotov is 7-3 over the last ten and 28-9 on hard this season.
The pick is M. Damm to win. We make it a 73% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.37 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Damm | P. Kotov | |
|---|---|---|
| 115 | Ranking | 188 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LLWLL | Last 5 | LWLWW |
| +0.1 | V the odds | -0.6 |
| 32-26 | Season | 29-13 |
| 26-18 | Hard 2026 | 28-9 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 7d | Days rest | 12d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | M. DammvP. Kotov | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Damm — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | P. Kotov | 1 - 2 | 1.42 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Tokyo | Hard | A. Fils | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-26 | Chengdu | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | 3.19 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-24 | Chengdu | Hard | S. Mochizuki | 2 - 0 | 1.56 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 2 - 3 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem | Hard | F. Marozsan | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | D. Medvedev | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | Winston-Salem | Hard | A. Shelbayh | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-12 | Cincinnati | Hard | S. Sakellaridis | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | S. Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
P. Kotov — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | 1.64 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | M. Damm | 1 - 2 | 2.95 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | S. Mochizuki | 2 - 0 | 1.61 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | Chengdu | Hard | L. Castelnuovo | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | M. Sharipov | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | R. Noguchi | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | A. Santillan | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-15 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | S. Mochizuki | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-12 | Shanghai | Hard | M. Sharipov | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Martin Damm or Pavel Kotov?
Martin Damm is favourite at 1.42, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Martin Damm vs Pavel Kotov?
Martin Damm is 1.42 and Pavel Kotov is 2.95, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Martin Damm and Pavel Kotov?
They have met 1 time and Pavel Kotov leads 1-0.
Who will win Martin Damm vs Pavel Kotov?
Our model makes it Martin Damm to win at 1.42 (Solid confidence).