Luka Pavlovic v Ilia Simakin
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONI. Simakin is 10-0 over the last ten and 40-9 on hard this season. L. Pavlovic is 4-6 over the last ten and 14-11 on hard this season.
The pick is I. Simakin to win. We make it a 64% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.56 or bigger. At 1.46 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. Pavlovic | I. Simakin | |
|---|---|---|
| 205 | Ranking | 275 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 10-0 |
| LWLLW | Last 5 | WWWWW |
| +0.2 | V the odds | - |
| 25-24 | Season | 43-17 |
| 14-11 | Hard 2026 | 40-9 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 4d | Days rest | 15d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | L. PavlovicvI. Simakin | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. Pavlovic — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | I. Simakin | 1 - 2 | 2.80 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-10-01 | Jingshan | Hard | L. Harris | 2 - 0 | 4.20 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | A. Santillan | 0 - 2 | 1.57 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Muller | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-16 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | H. Heck | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | Vu Ha Minh Duc | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | J. Fearnley | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-17 | Cancun 2 | Hard | F. Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-28 | San Marino | Clay | V. Gaubas | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
I. Simakin — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai | Hard | R. Te | 0 - 2 | 1.13 | 85% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | L. Pavlovic | 1 - 2 | 1.46 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | R. Pacheco Mendez | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | H. Heck | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | C. Hewitt | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | B. Ellis | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-15 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | T. Derepasko | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | A. Weber | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-12 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | M. Purcell | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | P. Sekulic | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Luka Pavlovic or Ilia Simakin?
Ilia Simakin is favourite at 1.46, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin?
Luka Pavlovic is 2.80 and Ilia Simakin is 1.46, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Luka Pavlovic and Ilia Simakin?
They have met 1 time and Ilia Simakin leads 1-0.
Who will win Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin?
Our model makes it Ilia Simakin to win at 1.46 (Lean confidence).