Learner Tien v Hubert Hurkacz
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTL. Tien is 5-5 over the last ten and 19-13 on hard this season. H. Hurkacz is 8-2 over the last ten and 18-12 on hard this season. H. Hurkacz has played 5 matches in seven days.
The pick is L. Tien to win. We make it a 60% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.66 or bigger. At 1.60 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. Tien | H. Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ranking | 41 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 8-2 |
| LWLWL | Last 5 | LWWWW |
| -0.3 | V the odds | +1.4 |
| 32-20 | Season | 30-21 |
| 19-13 | Hard 2026 | 18-12 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 5 |
| 3d | Days rest | 1d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Defending final | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | L. TienvH. Hurkacz | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. Tien — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | 1.60 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 | 3.25 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-09-26 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | F. Cobolli | 1 - 2 | 1.47 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | J. Lehecka | 2 - 0 | 1.91 | 50% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | J. Mensik | 0 - 2 | 2.22 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open | Hard | K. Khachanov | 3 - 2 | 1.57 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-06 | US Open | Hard | J. Mensik | 2 - 3 | 1.72 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | N. Borges | 0 - 3 | 1.49 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 1 - 2 | 1.83 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | S. Baez | 2 - 0 | 1.31 | 74% | WON |
H. Hurkacz — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | L. Tien | 1 - 2 | 2.48 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | 1.68 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Chengdu | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 2 - 1 | 1.60 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Chengdu | Hard | L. Harris | 0 - 2 | 1.53 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Chengdu | Hard | M. Damm | 1 - 2 | 1.40 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Shevchenko | 0 - 2 | 1.21 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | B. Shelton | 3 - 1 | 3.08 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | D. Dzumhur | 1 - 3 | 1.09 | 89% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | Cancun 2 | Hard | S. Baez | 1 - 2 | 1.43 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-08-23 | Cancun 2 | Hard | M. Echargui | 2 - 0 | 1.12 | 86% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Learner Tien or Hubert Hurkacz?
Learner Tien is favourite at 1.60, which is a 61% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz?
Learner Tien is 1.60 and Hubert Hurkacz is 2.48, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.
What is the head-to-head between Learner Tien and Hubert Hurkacz?
They have met 1 time and Hubert Hurkacz leads 1-0.
Who will win Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz?
Our model makes it Learner Tien to win at 1.60 (Lean confidence).