Dalibor Svrcina v Rio Noguchi
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWOND. Svrcina is 5-5 over the last ten and 13-13 on hard this season. R. Noguchi is 5-5 over the last ten and 29-16 on hard this season. The head to head is D. Svrcina 2-0.
The pick is D. Svrcina to win. We make it a 75% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.34 or bigger. At 1.20 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| D. Svrcina | R. Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| 134 | Ranking | 229 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WLWWW | Last 5 | WLWWL |
| -0.7 | V the odds | -0.8 |
| 29-23 | Season | 32-21 |
| 13-13 | Hard 2026 | 29-16 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Defending final | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | D. SvrcinavR. Noguchi | 2 - 0 |
| 2024-09-26 | Nonthaburi 4 | R. NoguchivD. Svrcina | 0 - 2 |
| 2023-05-29 | Vicenza Challenger Men | D. SvrcinavR. Noguchi | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
D. Svrcina — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Hangzhou | Hard | R. Hijikata | 2 - 0 | 1.69 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | R. Noguchi | 2 - 0 | 1.21 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou | Hard | P. Sekulic | 2 - 0 | 1.14 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | L. Darderi | 3 - 1 | 2.26 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | V. Royer | 3 - 2 | 2.03 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | M. McDonald | 2 - 1 | 1.72 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | A. Galarneau | 2 - 0 | 1.52 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | F. Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | 1.23 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Cancun 2 | Hard | S. Wawrinka | 0 - 2 | 1.51 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati | Hard | M. Lajal | 2 - 1 | 1.87 | 52% | LOST |
R. Noguchi — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | D. Svrcina | 2 - 0 | 4.69 | 79% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou | Hard | M. Imamura | 0 - 2 | 1.44 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | P. Kotov | 2 - 0 | 2.77 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-09-16 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | C. Sinclair | 0 - 2 | 1.15 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | K. Uchida | 1 - 2 | 1.20 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Shanghai | Hard | O. Jasika | 0 - 2 | 1.54 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | Shanghai | Hard | R. Te | 2 - 0 | 1.29 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | Y. Bu | 2 - 1 | 3.43 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Cancun 2 | Hard | A. Magadan | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Cancun 2 | Hard | L. C. Alvarez Valdes | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Dalibor Svrcina or Rio Noguchi?
Dalibor Svrcina is favourite at 1.21, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Dalibor Svrcina vs Rio Noguchi?
Dalibor Svrcina is 1.21 and Rio Noguchi is 4.69, the prices we recorded for the Hangzhou match.
What is the head-to-head between Dalibor Svrcina and Rio Noguchi?
They have met 3 times and Dalibor Svrcina leads 3-0.
Who will win Dalibor Svrcina vs Rio Noguchi?
Our model makes it Dalibor Svrcina to win at 1.20 (Lean confidence).