THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 24 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 215EVENTS 37LIVE 9ALERTS 46
ATPHardHangzhou2026-09-23 04:00

Yunchaokete Bu v Michael Zheng

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
Y. Bu to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.42 or bigger · our chance 71% · market 42/58, us 44/56

Y. Bu is 6-4 over the last ten and 20-12 on hard this season. M. Zheng is 7-3 over the last ten and 20-10 on hard this season. M. Zheng has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is Y. Bu 1-1.

The pick is Y. Bu to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 71% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.42 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

Y. BuM. Zheng
152Ranking107
6-4Last 107-3
WLWWLLast 5LWWWL
+0.5V the odds+0.6
31-16Season28-15
20-12Hard 202620-10
0Last 7 days4
21dDays rest4d
0Wins here0
21d outFitnessClear
Head to head
1-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

Y. Bu2.1346%
M. ZhengFAV1.7954%
Market says54% Zheng

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Y. BuWWLWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

Y. Bu2
M. Zheng1
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-24HangzhouY. BuvM. Zheng2 - 0
2026-09-04US OpenY. BuvM. Zheng1 - 3
2024-07-24Chicago Challenger MenY. BuvM. Zheng2 - 0

This season & this event

Y. Bu
M. Zheng
32-16
21-12
Lost R32 to Z. Zhang
Lost SF to Z. Zhang
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
28-16
20-11
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Yunchaokete Bu
China
Michael Zheng
USA
152
24
China
9–8
0
9–7
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
107
22
USA
26–14
0
18–9
3–2
5–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

Y. Bu — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-23HangzhouHardM. Zheng2 - 02.1354%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardR. Jodar0 - 39.4290%WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardF. Cina1 - 21.5861%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardB. Gojo2 - 01.7455%WON
2026-08-25US OpenHardR. Noguchi2 - 11.3372%WON
2026-08-18Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardN. Budkov Kjaer2 - 01.5662%LOST
2026-08-13CincinnatiHardQ. Halys2 - 02.2457%LOST
2026-08-12CincinnatiHardF. Maestrelli0 - 21.2776%WON
2026-07-19LincolnHardM. Lajal2 - 11.5164%LOST
2026-07-18LincolnHardC. Smith1 - 21.5662%WON

M. Zheng — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-23HangzhouHardY. Bu2 - 01.7954%LOST
2026-09-19TiburonHardDar. Blanch0 - 21.3771%LOST
2026-09-18TiburonHardM. Krueger2 - 01.0885%WON
2026-09-17TiburonHardT. Svajda2 - 01.2573%WON
2026-09-16TiburonHardE. Zhu2 - 11.0590%WON
2026-09-05US OpenHardA. Gea2 - 31.7456%LOST
2026-09-01US OpenHardF. Marozsan0 - 31.6260%WON
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardL. Musetti0 - 22.7264%LOST
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardU. Humbert0 - 21.9751%WON
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardF. Marozsan1 - 21.7456%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Yunchaokete Bu or Michael Zheng?

Michael Zheng is favourite at 1.79, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng?

Yunchaokete Bu is 2.13 and Michael Zheng is 1.79, the prices we recorded for the Hangzhou match.

What is the head-to-head between Yunchaokete Bu and Michael Zheng?

They have met 3 times and Yunchaokete Bu leads 2-1.

Who will win Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng?

Our model makes it Yunchaokete Bu to win a set (Lean confidence).

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