THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 24 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 215EVENTS 37LIVE 9ALERTS 46
ATPHardHangzhou2026-09-23 04:00

Valentin Royer v Adam Walton

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
V. Royer to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.37 or bigger · our chance 73% · market 45/55, us 48/52

V. Royer is 6-4 over the last ten and 8-14 on hard this season. A. Walton is 4-6 over the last ten and 33-24 on hard this season.

The pick is V. Royer to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 73% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.37 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

V. RoyerA. Walton
71Ranking103
6-4Last 104-6
LWWWWLast 5LLWLW
+0.5V the odds-1.8
22-26Season38-28
8-14Hard 202633-24
0Last 7 days0
23dDays rest24d
0Wins here0
23d outDefending titleFitness24d out
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

V. Royer2.0747%
A. WaltonFAV1.8353%
Market says53% Walton

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

V. Royer1
A. Walton0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-23HangzhouV. RoyervA. Walton2 - 0

This season & this event

V. Royer
Defending final
A. Walton
23-26
9-14
Lost Final to A. Bublik
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
38-29
33-25
Lost R32 to S. Korda
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Valentin Royer
France
Adam Walton
Australia
71
25
France
10–15
0
2–10
8–5
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
103
27
Australia
18–16
0
17–14
1–2
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

V. Royer — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-23HangzhouHardA. Walton2 - 02.0753%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardD. Svrcina3 - 21.8652%LOST
2026-08-22Kingston (Jamaica)HardP. Martinez2 - 01.4168%WON
2026-08-21Kingston (Jamaica)HardC. Chidekh2 - 11.5761%WON
2026-08-20Kingston (Jamaica)HardG. Bueno2 - 01.2180%WON
2026-08-19Kingston (Jamaica)HardT. Zink2 - 01.3074%WON
2026-08-18Kingston (Jamaica)HardL. A. Miguel2 - 1——WON
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardS. Tsitsipas0 - 24.0076%LOST
2026-08-06MontrealHardT. Paul0 - 25.2481%LOST
2026-08-04MontrealHardP. Carreno-Busta1 - 22.9067%WON

A. Walton — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-23HangzhouHardV. Royer2 - 01.8353%LOST
2026-08-30US OpenHardY. Wu3 - 01.7556%LOST
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardI. Buse1 - 21.6061%LOST
2026-08-24Winston-SalemHardJ. De Jong2 - 01.5862%WON
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardJ. Faria2 - 12.3458%LOST
2026-08-17CincinnatiHardI. Buse2 - 01.5861%WON
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardN. Mejia2 - 01.5164%WON
2026-08-04MontrealHardJ. Brooksby0 - 22.1555%LOST
2026-08-01MontrealHardJ. Boulais2 - 01.1683%WON
2026-07-29Los CabosHardD. Svrcina2 - 11.5662%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Valentin Royer or Adam Walton?

Adam Walton is favourite at 1.83, which is a 53% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton?

Valentin Royer is 2.07 and Adam Walton is 1.83, the prices we recorded for the Hangzhou match.

What is the head-to-head between Valentin Royer and Adam Walton?

They have met 1 time and Valentin Royer leads 1-0.

Who will win Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton?

Our model makes it Valentin Royer to win a set (Lean confidence).

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