Sho Shimabukuro v Hugo Gaston
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONH. Gaston is 5-5 over the last ten and 13-12 on hard this season. S. Shimabukuro is 4-6 over the last ten and 21-20 on hard this season. The head to head is S. Shimabukuro 0-1.
The pick is H. Gaston to win. We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.90 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| S. Shimabukuro | H. Gaston | |
|---|---|---|
| 147 | Ranking | 118 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WWLLL | Last 5 | LWWWL |
| -1.1 | V the odds | +0.1 |
| 30-25 | Season | 29-25 |
| 21-20 | Hard 2026 | 13-12 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 3d | Days rest | 24d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | 24d out |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Hangzhou | S. ShimabukurovH. Gaston | 0 - 2 |
| 2023-08-29 | ATP US Open | S. ShimabukurovH. Gaston | 0 - 3 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
S. Shimabukuro — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | H. Gaston | 0 - 2 | 2.24 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | A. Shepp | 0 - 2 | 1.33 | 73% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | J. Watt | 1 - 2 | 1.24 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | A. Rinderknech | 1 - 3 | 3.90 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-08-23 | Winston-Salem | Hard | M. Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | 2.98 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | 3.74 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati | Hard | J.J. Wolf | 1 - 2 | 2.12 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-08-12 | Cincinnati | Hard | H. Dellien | 2 - 0 | 1.21 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | M. Cilic | 0 - 2 | 2.11 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-08-01 | Montreal | Hard | N. Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 0 | 1.79 | 54% | WON |
H. Gaston — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | S. Shimabukuro | 0 - 2 | 1.71 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | D. Medvedev | 3 - 0 | 6.68 | 86% | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | C. Smith | 2 - 1 | 1.72 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | A. Ilagan | 2 - 0 | 1.67 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | G. I. Justo | 2 - 0 | 1.13 | 85% | WON |
| 2026-08-22 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | L. van Assche | 0 - 2 | 2.77 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-08-21 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | J. De Jong | 0 - 2 | 2.50 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | A. Popyrin | 0 - 0 RET | 2.93 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-08-12 | Cincinnati | Hard | N. Budkov Kjaer | 1 - 2 | 1.74 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-08-01 | Montreal | Hard | D. Chan | 1 - 2 | 1.31 | 73% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Sho Shimabukuro or Hugo Gaston?
Hugo Gaston is favourite at 1.71, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Sho Shimabukuro vs Hugo Gaston?
Sho Shimabukuro is 2.24 and Hugo Gaston is 1.71, the prices we recorded for the Hangzhou match.
What is the head-to-head between Sho Shimabukuro and Hugo Gaston?
They have met 2 times and Hugo Gaston leads 2-0.
Who will win Sho Shimabukuro vs Hugo Gaston?
Our model makes it Hugo Gaston to win at 2.00 (Lean confidence).