THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 24 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 215EVENTS 37LIVE 9ALERTS 46
ATPHardHangzhou2026-09-23 04:00

Mattia Bellucci v Kamil Majchrzak

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
M. Bellucci to win2.25
Worth backing at 2.03 or bigger · our chance 49% · market 42/58, us 49/51

M. Bellucci is 4-6 over the last ten and 15-15 on hard this season. K. Majchrzak is 3-7 over the last ten and 9-14 on hard this season. The head to head is M. Bellucci 1-0.

The pick is M. Bellucci to win. We make it a 49% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.03 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. BellucciK. Majchrzak
80Ranking73
4-6Last 103-7
LWLWLLast 5LWLWL
-0.4V the odds-1.9
28-25Season20-20
15-15Hard 20269-14
0Last 7 days2
21dDays rest3d
0Wins here0
21d outFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. Bellucci2.0946%
K. MajchrzakFAV1.8154%
Market says54% Majchrzak

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Bellucci1
K. Majchrzak1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-24HangzhouM. BelluccivK. Majchrzak0 - 2
2024-08-22ATP US OpenM. BelluccivK. Majchrzak2 - 0

This season & this event

M. Bellucci
K. Majchrzak
28-26
15-16
Did not play
Lost R16 to Z. Zhang
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
21-20
10-14
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Mattia Bellucci
Italy
Kamil Majchrzak
Poland
80
25
Italy
17–15
0
12–10
5–5
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
73
30
Poland
19–19
1
9–13
1–3
9–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Bellucci — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-23HangzhouHardK. Majchrzak0 - 22.0954%LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardT. Fritz3 - 07.6487%LOST
2026-09-01US OpenHardZ. Piros3 - 01.4667%WON
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardL. Darderi1 - 22.0152%LOST
2026-08-23Winston-SalemHardM. Landaluce1 - 22.1054%WON
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardJ. Mensik1 - 23.9775%LOST
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardZ. Svajda0 - 22.5762%WON
2026-08-04MontrealHardS. Baez2 - 02.0252%LOST
2026-06-25Exhibition Boodles ChallengeGrassC. Ugo Carabelli1 - 21.3670%WON
2026-06-23EastbourneGrassU. Humbert2 - 12.5261%LOST

K. Majchrzak — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-23HangzhouHardM. Bellucci0 - 21.8154%WON
2026-09-20ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryA. De Minaur2 - 04.1977%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryJ. Duckworth1 - 21.6756%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardV. Vacherot3 - 12.2456%LOST
2026-08-30US OpenHardH. Medjedovic3 - 01.7854%WON
2026-08-24Winston-SalemHardB. Bonzi0 - 21.4866%LOST
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardC. O'Connell2 - 01.5463%LOST
2026-08-04MontrealHardG. Monfils0 - 21.3075%LOST
2026-07-29WashingtonHardT. Fritz2 - 03.9075%LOST
2026-07-28WashingtonHardT. Paul2 - 04.2177%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Mattia Bellucci or Kamil Majchrzak?

Kamil Majchrzak is favourite at 1.81, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Mattia Bellucci vs Kamil Majchrzak?

Mattia Bellucci is 2.09 and Kamil Majchrzak is 1.81, the prices we recorded for the Hangzhou match.

What is the head-to-head between Mattia Bellucci and Kamil Majchrzak?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Mattia Bellucci vs Kamil Majchrzak?

Our model makes it Mattia Bellucci to win at 2.25 (Solid confidence).

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