Alexander Zverev v Cameron Norrie
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONA. Zverev is 8-2 over the last ten and 28-9 on hard this season. C. Norrie is 6-4 over the last ten and 18-13 on hard this season. The head to head is A. Zverev 7-0.
The pick is A. Zverev to win. We make it a 87% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.16 or bigger. At 1.12 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Zverev | C. Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ranking | 28 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WLWWW | Last 5 | LLWLW |
| -0.1 | V the odds | +0.3 |
| 54-14 | Season | 23-22 |
| 28-9 | Hard 2026 | 18-13 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 3d | Days rest | 31d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | 31d out |
| Head to head 7-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | A. ZverevvC. Norrie | 2 - 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | A. ZverevvC. Norrie | 2 - 1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Australian Open | A. ZverevvC. Norrie | 3 - 1 |
| 2024-07-06 | ATP Wimbledon | C. NorrievA. Zverev | 0 - 3 |
| 2024-01-22 | ATP Australian Open | A. ZverevvC. Norrie | 3 - 2 |
| 2023-10-25 | ATP Vienna | A. ZverevvC. Norrie | 2 - 0 |
| 2022-01-02 | ATP ATP Cup | A. ZverevvC. Norrie | 2 - 0 |
| 2019-08-07 | Montreal | C. NorrievA. Zverev | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Zverev — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 | 1.12 | 86% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | L. Tien | 2 - 0 | 1.35 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | A. De Minaur | 1 - 2 | 1.29 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | D. Prizmic | 2 - 0 | 1.09 | 87% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | M. Dodig | 2 - 0 | 1.03 | 94% | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | US Open | Hard | B. Shelton | 3 - 1 | 1.67 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | US Open | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 3 - 0 | 1.12 | 87% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | US Open | Hard | L. Darderi | 3 - 0 | 1.09 | 89% | WON |
| 2026-09-06 | US Open | Hard | A. Tabilo | 3 - 0 | 1.19 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | L. Sonego | 3 - 2 | 1.04 | 93% | WON |
C. Norrie — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 | 6.87 | 86% | LOST |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | L. van Assche | 3 - 1 | 1.47 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Zverev | 2 - 1 | 4.06 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati | Hard | D. Prizmic | 2 - 1 | 1.49 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-08-09 | Montreal | Hard | A. Fils | 2 - 0 | 3.02 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-08-06 | Montreal | Hard | A. De Minaur | 2 - 1 | 2.74 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-08-05 | Montreal | Hard | I. Buse | 0 - 2 | 1.41 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | C. Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 2 | 1.24 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Cabos | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 1 - 2 | 1.66 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-07-31 | Los Cabos | Hard | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | 1.40 | 70% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alexander Zverev or Cameron Norrie?
Alexander Zverev is favourite at 1.12, which is a 86% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie?
Alexander Zverev is 1.12 and Cameron Norrie is 6.87, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.
What is the head-to-head between Alexander Zverev and Cameron Norrie?
They have met 8 times and Alexander Zverev leads 8-0.
Who will win Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie?
Our model makes it Alexander Zverev to win at 1.12 (Lean confidence).