THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 04 NOVEMBERMATCHES 389EVENTS 39LIVE 38ALERTS 41
ChallengerHardCharlottesville2026-11-04 16:00

Aidan Mayo v Alastair Gray

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean
A. Mayo to win1.50
Price too short today - wait for 1.60 or bigger · our chance 63% · market 61/39, us 63/37

A. Mayo is 8-2 over the last ten and 30-21 on hard this season. A. Gray is 8-2 over the last ten and 32-19 on hard this season. A. Mayo has played 6 matches in seven days. A. Gray has played 5 matches in seven days.

The pick is A. Mayo to win. We make it a 63% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.60 or bigger. At 1.50 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. MayoA. Gray
341Ranking293
8-2Last 108-2
WWWLWLast 5WLWWW
+2.5V the odds+2.2
34-23Season38-24
30-21Hard 202632-19
6Last 7 days5
1dDays rest2d
3Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. MayoFAV1.5061%
A. Gray2.3839%
Market says61% Mayo

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

A. MayoWWWLW
A. GrayWLWWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

A. Mayo
A. Gray
34-23
30-21
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
38-24
32-19
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Aidan Mayo
USA
Alastair Gray
United Kingdom
341
23
USA
26–21
1
22–17
4–3
0–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
293
28
United Kingdom
17–8
2
17–8
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Mayo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-11-03CharlottesvilleHardP. Nesterov1.2974%WON
2026-11-02CharlottesvilleHardK. Miyoshi1.5163%WON
2026-11-01CharlottesvilleHardD. Chan1.3869%WON
2026-10-31Sioux FallsHard (Indoor)D. Dietrich3.2970%LOST
2026-10-30Sioux FallsHard (Indoor)M. Rottgering2.2457%WON
2026-10-28Sioux FallsHard (Indoor)M. Kasnikowski2.4360%WON
2026-10-26Sioux FallsHard (Indoor)H. Barton1.6558%WON
2026-10-23Fort Worth (Usa)HardS. Jong1.6756%LOST
2026-10-21Fort Worth (Usa)HardK. Bigun1.3770%WON
2026-10-19Fort Worth (Usa)HardC. Smith2.1255%WON

A. Gray — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-11-02CharlottesvilleHardV. Royer3.2371%WON
2026-10-31M25 Norman, OKHardL. Maxted1.7455%LOST
2026-10-30M25 Norman, OKHardL. Pow——WON
2026-10-29M25 Norman, OKHardT. Papamalamis1.5860%WON
2026-10-28M25 Norman, OKHardE. Ivanisevic1.0591%WON
2026-10-18M25 Austin, TXHardC. Rolland de Ravel1.6159%LOST
2026-10-17M25 Austin, TXHardD. Mosejczuk1.5860%WON
2026-10-16M25 Austin, TXHardS. Gorzny2.4962%WON
2026-10-15M25 Austin, TXHardL. Tu1.9451%WON
2026-10-13M25 Austin, TXHardS. Johnson2.5362%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Aidan Mayo or Alastair Gray?

Aidan Mayo is favourite at 1.50, which is a 61% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Aidan Mayo vs Alastair Gray?

Aidan Mayo is 1.50 and Alastair Gray is 2.38, the prices we recorded for the Charlottesville match.

Who will win Aidan Mayo vs Alastair Gray?

Our model makes it Aidan Mayo to win at 1.50 (Lean confidence).

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