Aidan Mayo v Alastair Gray
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanA. Mayo is 8-2 over the last ten and 30-21 on hard this season. A. Gray is 8-2 over the last ten and 32-19 on hard this season. A. Mayo has played 6 matches in seven days. A. Gray has played 5 matches in seven days.
The pick is A. Mayo to win. We make it a 63% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.60 or bigger. At 1.50 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Mayo | A. Gray | |
|---|---|---|
| 341 | Ranking | 293 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 8-2 |
| WWWLW | Last 5 | WLWWW |
| +2.5 | V the odds | +2.2 |
| 34-23 | Season | 38-24 |
| 30-21 | Hard 2026 | 32-19 |
| 6 | Last 7 days | 5 |
| 1d | Days rest | 2d |
| 3 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players


Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Mayo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | Charlottesville | Hard | P. Nesterov | 1.29 | 74% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 6-2 MayoNesterovPoints won60%40%Serve points won75%57%Return points won43%25%Games held10 of 107 of 10Break points saved0 of 01 of 4Aces71Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-11-02 | Charlottesville | Hard | K. Miyoshi | 1.51 | 63% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 MayoMiyoshiPoints won62%38%Serve points won80%52%Return points won48%20%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 03 of 6Aces53Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-11-01 | Charlottesville | Hard | D. Chan | 1.38 | 69% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 MayoChanPoints won53%47%Serve points won68%61%Return points won39%32%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved0 of 12 of 5Aces42Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-10-31 | Sioux Falls | Hard (Indoor) | D. Dietrich | 3.29 | 70% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 2-6 MayoDietrichPoints won43%57%Serve points won57%73%Return points won27%43%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved3 of 60 of 0Aces45Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-10-30 | Sioux Falls | Hard (Indoor) | M. Rottgering | 2.24 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 MayoRottgeringPoints won55%45%Serve points won70%65%Return points won35%30%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved9 of 91 of 3Aces101Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-28 | Sioux Falls | Hard (Indoor) | M. Kasnikowski | 2.43 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-7 7-5 MayoKasnikowskiPoints won53%47%Serve points won68%62%Return points won38%32%Games held14 of 1611 of 16Break points saved1 of 32 of 7Aces94Double faults51 | |||||||
| 2026-10-26 | Sioux Falls | Hard (Indoor) | H. Barton | 1.65 | 58% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 MayoBartonPoints won58%42%Serve points won75%57%Return points won43%25%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved5 of 511 of 14Aces26Double faults25 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | Fort Worth (Usa) | Hard | S. Jong | 1.67 | 56% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 6-0 6-7 MayoJongPoints won52%48%Serve points won70%66%Return points won34%30%Games held14 of 1511 of 15Break points saved5 of 64 of 8Aces610Double faults78 | |||||||
| 2026-10-21 | Fort Worth (Usa) | Hard | K. Bigun | 1.37 | 70% | WON | |
Games in each set1-6 6-0 7-5 MayoBigunPoints won54%46%Serve points won62%54%Return points won46%38%Games held10 of 129 of 13Break points saved12 of 1412 of 16Aces65Double faults65 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Fort Worth (Usa) | Hard | C. Smith | 2.12 | 55% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 2-6 7-6 MayoSmithPoints won50%50%Serve points won59%60%Return points won40%41%Games held11 of 1512 of 15Break points saved10 of 1412 of 15Aces54Double faults71 | |||||||
A. Gray — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Charlottesville | Hard | V. Royer | 3.23 | 71% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 GrayRoyerPoints won58%42%Serve points won73%56%Return points won44%27%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved3 of 44 of 7Aces42Double faults42 | |||||||
| 2026-10-31 | M25 Norman, OK | Hard | L. Maxted | 1.74 | 55% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 1-6 GrayMaxtedPoints won39%61%Serve points won52%79%Return points won21%48%Games held5 of 98 of 8Break points saved4 of 81 of 1 | |||||||
| 2026-10-30 | M25 Norman, OK | Hard | L. Pow | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-2 GrayPowPoints won54%46%Serve points won67%61%Return points won39%33%Games held9 of 107 of 11Break points saved3 of 44 of 7 | |||||||
| 2026-10-29 | M25 Norman, OK | Hard | T. Papamalamis | 1.58 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 7-5 GrayPapamalamisPoints won53%47%Serve points won57%52%Return points won48%43%Games held8 of 127 of 13Break points saved5 of 97 of 12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-28 | M25 Norman, OK | Hard | E. Ivanisevic | 1.05 | 91% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 7-6 GrayIvanisevicPoints won52%48%Serve points won60%55%Return points won45%40%Games held8 of 127 of 13Break points saved2 of 69 of 14 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | M25 Austin, TX | Hard | C. Rolland de Ravel | 1.61 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-5 3-6 3-6 GrayRavelPoints won47%53%Serve points won62%67%Return points won33%38%Games held11 of 1513 of 15Break points saved6 of 102 of 4 | |||||||
| 2026-10-17 | M25 Austin, TX | Hard | D. Mosejczuk | 1.58 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-5 GrayMosejczukPoints won52%48%Serve points won59%55%Return points won45%41%Games held9 of 116 of 11Break points saved4 of 65 of 9 | |||||||
| 2026-10-16 | M25 Austin, TX | Hard | S. Gorzny | 2.49 | 62% | WON | |
Games in each set5-7 7-6 6-2 GrayGorznyPoints won51%49%Serve points won66%65%Return points won35%34%Games held14 of 1613 of 17Break points saved4 of 63 of 6 | |||||||
| 2026-10-15 | M25 Austin, TX | Hard | L. Tu | 1.94 | 51% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 7-5 GrayTuPoints won53%47%Serve points won65%57%Return points won43%35%Games held11 of 139 of 13Break points saved0 of 24 of 7 | |||||||
| 2026-10-13 | M25 Austin, TX | Hard | S. Johnson | 2.53 | 62% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-2 6-2 GrayJohnsonPoints won57%43%Serve points won68%53%Return points won47%32%Games held12 of 149 of 15Break points saved1 of 36 of 12 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Aidan Mayo or Alastair Gray?
Aidan Mayo is favourite at 1.50, which is a 61% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Aidan Mayo vs Alastair Gray?
Aidan Mayo is 1.50 and Alastair Gray is 2.38, the prices we recorded for the Charlottesville match.
Who will win Aidan Mayo vs Alastair Gray?
Our model makes it Aidan Mayo to win at 1.50 (Lean confidence).