Braden Shick v Darwin Blanch
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanDar. Blanch is 7-3 over the last ten and 23-20 on hard this season. B. Shick is 5-5 over the last ten and 40-16 on hard this season.
The pick is Dar. Blanch to win. We make it a 75% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.34 or bigger. At 1.27 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| B. Shick | Dar. Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| 211 | Ranking | 159 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WLLLW | Last 5 | WLWWL |
| -0.1 | V the odds | +0.7 |
| 44-19 | Season | 36-29 |
| 40-16 | Hard 2026 | 23-20 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 2d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
B. Shick — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Charlottesville | Hard | C. Smith | RET | 3.24 | 70% | WON |
Games in each set2-3 ShickSmithPoints won52%48%Serve points won62%60%Return points won40%38%Games held2 of 32 of 2Break points saved0 of 10 of 0Aces11Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-26 | Sioux Falls | Hard (Indoor) | M. H. Rehberg | 2.21 | 56% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 3-6 ShickRehbergPoints won44%56%Serve points won52%63%Return points won37%48%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved2 of 64 of 5Aces27Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Fort Worth (Usa) | Hard | G. Debru | 2.01 | 52% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-2 2-6 2-6 ShickDebruPoints won45%55%Serve points won56%66%Return points won34%44%Games held8 of 1210 of 12Break points saved2 of 63 of 5Aces28Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | M. Rottgering | 2.50 | 62% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 4-6 ShickRottgeringPoints won36%64%Serve points won40%70%Return points won30%60%Games held3 of 96 of 8Break points saved7 of 130 of 2Aces32Double faults44 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | O. Baris | 1.73 | 54% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 0-6 6-3 ShickBarisPoints won48%52%Serve points won64%67%Return points won33%36%Games held10 of 1411 of 13Break points saved2 of 63 of 5Aces1013Double faults06 | |||||||
| 2026-09-21 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | P. Maloney | 1.40 | 68% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-7 ShickMaloneyPoints won49%51%Serve points won64%67%Return points won33%36%Games held9 of 1110 of 10Break points saved7 of 91 of 1Aces65Double faults63 | |||||||
| 2026-09-16 | Tiburon | Hard | J.J. Wolf | 3.60 | 74% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 7-6 4-6 ShickWolfPoints won48%52%Serve points won63%66%Return points won34%37%Games held13 of 1615 of 16Break points saved9 of 125 of 6Aces36Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-09-15 | Tiburon | Hard | E. Arutiunian | 1.47 | 63% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 ShickArutiunianPoints won57%43%Serve points won75%62%Return points won38%25%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved1 of 24 of 7Aces37Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | C. Tabur | 2.24 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-5 ShickTaburPoints won52%48%Serve points won64%63%Return points won37%36%Games held10 of 118 of 11Break points saved11 of 128 of 11Aces114Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-07-30 | Vancouver | Hard | A. Andrade | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 ShickAndradePoints won59%41%Serve points won68%51%Return points won49%32%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved2 of 32 of 6Aces72Double faults25 | |||||||
Dar. Blanch — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | Charlottesville | Hard | A. Fenty | 1.24 | 77% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-3 BlanchFentyPoints won56%44%Serve points won76%58%Return points won42%24%Games held9 of 97 of 10Break points saved2 of 24 of 7Aces103Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-31 | Sioux Falls | Hard (Indoor) | L. Draxl | 1.67 | 58% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-3 0-6 BlanchDraxlPoints won47%53%Serve points won56%63%Return points won37%44%Games held7 of 1210 of 12Break points saved7 of 123 of 5Aces84Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-29 | Sioux Falls | Hard (Indoor) | M. Krueger | 1.32 | 73% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-4 7-5 BlanchKruegerPoints won52%48%Serve points won61%59%Return points won41%39%Games held14 of 1712 of 17Break points saved9 of 123 of 8Aces165Double faults55 | |||||||
| 2026-10-26 | Sioux Falls | Hard (Indoor) | S. Gorzny | 1.46 | 66% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 BlanchGorznyPoints won58%42%Serve points won84%61%Return points won39%16%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 02 of 5Aces75Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-10-25 | Fort Worth (Usa) | Hard | J. Brooksby | 2.65 | 64% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 4-6 BlanchBrooksbyPoints won44%56%Serve points won63%68%Return points won32%37%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved0 of 32 of 2Aces05Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Fort Worth (Usa) | Hard | S. Jong | 1.28 | 75% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-2 BlanchJongPoints won55%45%Serve points won72%62%Return points won38%28%Games held8 of 106 of 10Break points saved4 of 62 of 6Aces15Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | Fort Worth (Usa) | Hard | M. Rottgering | 1.69 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 BlanchRottgeringPoints won56%44%Serve points won71%63%Return points won37%29%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved5 of 51 of 3Aces133Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-21 | Fort Worth (Usa) | Hard | D. Milavsky | 1.45 | 66% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-4 BlanchMilavskyPoints won57%43%Serve points won72%57%Return points won43%28%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved2 of 23 of 6Aces65Double faults43 | |||||||
| 2026-10-20 | Fort Worth (Usa) | Hard | A. Pedrico Kravtsov | 1.19 | 80% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-5 BlanchKravtsovPoints won54%46%Serve points won73%66%Return points won34%27%Games held11 of 119 of 11Break points saved3 of 32 of 4Aces100Double faults02 | |||||||
| 2026-10-02 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | D. Dietrich | 2.29 | 58% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 3-6 BlanchDietrichPoints won43%57%Serve points won55%71%Return points won29%45%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved6 of 103 of 4Aces99Double faults12 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Braden Shick or Darwin Blanch?
Darwin Blanch is favourite at 1.26, which is a 76% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Braden Shick vs Darwin Blanch?
Braden Shick is 3.90 and Darwin Blanch is 1.26, the prices we recorded for the Charlottesville match.
Who will win Braden Shick vs Darwin Blanch?
Our model makes it Darwin Blanch to win at 1.27 (Lean confidence).