THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 06 OCTOBERMATCHES 211EVENTS 34LIVE 5ALERTS 88
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-05 07:30

Adam Walton v Rigele Te

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
A. Walton to win1.04
Price too short today - wait for 1.11 or bigger · our chance 90% · market 92/8, us 90/10

A. Walton is 5-5 over the last ten and 36-26 on hard this season. R. Te is 5-5 over the last ten and 16-15 on hard this season. A. Walton has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is A. Walton to win. We make it a 90% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.11 or bigger. At 1.04 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. WaltonR. Te
97Ranking839
5-5Last 105-5
LWWWLLast 5LLLLW
-0.5V the odds-
41-30Season16-16
36-26Hard 202616-15
4Last 7 days1
4dDays rest7d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. WaltonFAV1.0492%
R. Te12.438%
Market says92% Walton

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

R. TeLWLLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Walton0
R. Te1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-05ShanghaiA. WaltonvR. Te1 - 2

This season & this event

A. Walton
R. Te
41-31
36-27
Lost R128 to M. Bellucci
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
17-17
17-16
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Adam Walton
Australia
Rigele Te
China
97
27
Australia
39–29
1
30–22
2–3
7–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
839
28
China
16–15
1
16–14
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Walton — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardR. Te1 - 21.0492%LOST
2026-10-01JingshanHardM. Bellucci0 - 22.0052%LOST
2026-09-30JingshanHardM. Kouame2 - 01.4765%WON
2026-09-29JingshanHardA. Binda2 - 01.0588%WON
2026-09-28JingshanHardH. Shiraishi2 - 0——WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardV. Royer2 - 01.8851%LOST
2026-08-30US OpenHardY. Wu3 - 0——LOST
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardI. Buse1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-24Winston-SalemHardJ. De Jong2 - 0——WON
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardJ. Faria2 - 1——LOST

R. Te — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardI. Simakin0 - 26.2285%LOST
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardA. Walton1 - 212.4392%WON
2026-09-28BeijingHardJ. Duckworth0 - 0——LOST
2026-09-28BeijingHardA. Gea0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-22HangzhouHardB. Tomic2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryC. Ruud2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-07ShanghaiHardR. Noguchi2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-30M15 Maanshan 8HardT. Zhang1 - 2——WON
2026-08-29M15 Maanshan 8HardC. Ferguson2 - 0——WON
2026-08-28M15 Maanshan 8HardJ. Charlton0 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Adam Walton or Rigele Te?

Adam Walton is favourite at 1.04, which is a 92% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Adam Walton vs Rigele Te?

Adam Walton is 1.04 and Rigele Te is 12.43, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Adam Walton and Rigele Te?

They have met 1 time and Rigele Te leads 1-0.

Who will win Adam Walton vs Rigele Te?

Our model makes it Adam Walton to win at 1.04 (Lean confidence).

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