ATP Paris 2026 Preview: Draw, Title Odds, Injuries and Surface
The ATP Paris main draw begins on 31 October, with Carlos Alcaraz, Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev leading the field. 62 players and 38 singles matches in the draw so far, hard (indoor) court.
When is the ATP Paris?
The tournament starts on 31 October. Matches are listed to 2 November so far; the later rounds join the card as the draw is published.
Who are the title favourites for the ATP Paris?
Carlos Alcaraz is the favourite with a 31.0% chance of the title, ahead of Alexander Zverev on 16.6%. Worked out round by round from the published draw and our player ratings.
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz 2 | 31.0% | 3.2 |
| Alexander Zverev 1 | 16.6% | 6.0 |
| Daniil Medvedev 4 | 7.1% | 14.1 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 13 | 4.1% | 24.5 |
| Taylor Fritz 11 | 4.1% | 24.7 |
| Frances Tiafoe 7 | 3.8% | 26.2 |
| Ben Shelton 3 | 3.8% | 26.3 |
| Tommy Paul 12 | 3.8% | 26.4 |
| Alex De Minaur 8 | 3.4% | 29.7 |
| Arthur Fils 6 | 3.1% | 32.5 |
What is the surface at the ATP Paris?
The tournament is played on hard (indoor) court.
Very slow court. How it has actually played, against the average for its level.
Servers held
−11.9% vs tour average 81.3%
Serve points won
−6.6% vs tour average 65.1%
Sets to a tiebreak
−4.5% vs tour average 20.2%
Aces
−0.13 vs tour average 0.49
Measured from 59 matches played at this event, against the average for its level over the same period. Not a surface label.
Who won the ATP Paris in 2025?
Jannik Sinner won it in 2025, beating Felix Auger-Aliassime 2-0.
Which players come to the ATP Paris in form?
Win-loss over the last five weeks, across every event, from our own results record.
| Player | Last 5 weeks | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 9-1 | 90% |
| Mattia Bellucci | 15-3 | 83% |
| Jiri Lehecka | 10-3 | 77% |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 9-3 | 75% |
| Alex Molcan | 6-2 | 75% |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 6-2 | 75% |
Which players are carrying an injury into the tournament?
Retirements, walkovers and medical timeouts from our own tracking. A short price on a player who has not finished a match lately is the easiest way to lose money at this level.
| Player | Recent | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gaston | L 0-2, RET, W 2-1 | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Alexander Blockx | L 1-2, L 0-2, RET | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 0-2, W 2-0, RET | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Luca van Assche | L 0-2, L 1-2, W 2-1 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 0-2, L 0-2, W 2-1 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Ugo Humbert | L 1-2, L 1-2, L 1-2 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
Which home players are in the ATP Paris?
9 players from France are in the singles draw. Adrian Mannarino, Arthur Rinderknech, Benjamin Bonzi, Felix Balshaw, Hugo Gaston, Luca van Assche, Moise Kouame, Quentin Halys, Ugo Humbert.
What are the first round matchups at the ATP Paris?
| Match | Time (UTC) | Prices | Market makes it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno-Busta v Mattia Bellucci | 11:00 | 2.56 / 1.54 | 62% M. Bellucci |
| Jaime Faria v Rinky Hijikata | 11:00 | 2.21 / 1.71 | 56% R. Hijikata |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante v Zachary Svajda | 11:00 | 1.99 / 1.87 | 52% Z. Svajda |
| Hugo Gaston v Vit Kopriva | 12:00 | 1.43 / 2.93 | 67% H. Gaston |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Aleksandar Kovacevic | 12:30 | 2.19 / 1.72 | 56% A. Kovacevic |
| James Duckworth v Miomir Kecmanovic | 12:30 | 2.24 / 1.68 | 57% M. Kecmanovic |
| Tomas Machac v Martin Landaluce | 12:30 | 1.50 / 2.70 | 64% T. Machac |
| Tallon Griekspoor v Benjamin Bonzi | 13:30 | 1.58 / 2.47 | 61% T. Griekspoor |
| Sebastian Baez v Damir Dzumhur | 14:00 | 2.54 / 1.55 | 62% D. Dzumhur |
| Felix Balshaw v Yannick Hanfmann | 14:00 | 2.31 / 1.65 | 58% Y. Hanfmann |
| Lorenzo Sonego v Jaume Munar | 14:00 | 2.30 / 1.66 | 58% J. Munar |
| Alex Molcan v Daniel Altmaier | 15:30 | 1.78 / 2.08 | 54% A. Molcan |
| Daniel Vallejo Adolfo v Grigor Dimitrov | 15:30 | 2.08 / 1.79 | 54% G. Dimitrov |
| Nuno Borges v Adrian Mannarino | 16:00 | 1.63 / 2.33 | 59% N. Borges |