ATPHard (Indoor)Paris2026-10-31 14:00

Lorenzo Sonego v Jaume Munar

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

J. Munar to win1.40

Worth backing at 1.38 or bigger · our chance 73% · market 34/66, us 27/73

J. Munar is 7-3 over the last ten and 12-8 on hard this season. L. Sonego is 2-8 over the last ten and 8-13 on hard this season. J. Munar withdrew from a match in the last month. The head to head is L. Sonego 1-2.

The pick is J. Munar to win. We make it a 73% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.38 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

L. Sonego		J. Munar
87	Ranking	49
2-8	Last 10	7-3
LWLLL	Last 5	WLLWW
-2.6	V the odds	+1.2
14-23	Season	21-19
8-13	Hard 2026	12-8
2	Last 7 days	0
6d	Days rest	12d
0	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	withdrew
	Head to head 1-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

L. Sonego2.7534%

J. MunarFAV1.4066%

Market says66% Munar

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

L. SonegoLWLLL

J. MunarWLLWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

L. Sonego1

J. Munar2

Head to head3 meetings

Date	Event	Match	Score
2025-08-21	Winston-Salem	L. SonegovJ. Munar	6-4 4-6 1-6
2024-08-12	ATP Cincinnati	L. SonegovJ. Munar	3-6 6-3 2-6
2023-07-28	ATP Umag	J. MunarvL. Sonego	6-3 1-6 2-6

This season & this event

L. Sonego

J. Munar

14-23

8-13

Lost R16 to D. Medvedev

Lost R64 to N. Jarry

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

21-19

12-8

Lost R64 to D. Medvedev

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Lorenzo Sonego

Italy

Jaume Munar

Spain

Italy

13–21

6–9

3–8

4–4

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

Spain

20–19

12–8

6–8

2–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

L. Sonego — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-25	Vienna	Hard (Indoor)	J. Fearnley	2.21	56%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 7-6 4-6 SonegoFearnleyPoints won48%52%Serve points won62%64%Return points won36%38%Games held10 of 1414 of 15Break points saved5 of 95 of 6Aces42Double faults27
2026-10-24	Vienna	Hard (Indoor)	D. Vallejo	1.82	53%	WON
Games in each set6-2 3-6 6-3 SonegoVallejoPoints won57%43%Serve points won79%64%Return points won36%21%Games held12 of 1310 of 13Break points saved2 of 31 of 4Aces143Double faults21
2026-10-19	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	M. Kouame	1.58	61%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6 SonegoKouamePoints won47%53%Serve points won66%70%Return points won30%34%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved1 of 25 of 5Aces53Double faults24
2026-10-05	Shanghai	Hard	A. Dougaz	1.23	78%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 7-5 4-6 SonegoDougazPoints won52%48%Serve points won77%68%Return points won32%23%Games held16 of 1716 of 17Break points saved1 of 28 of 9Aces124Double faults23
2026-09-28	Tokyo	Hard	K. Majchrzak	—	—	LOST
Games in each set5-7 2-6 SonegoMajchrzakPoints won43%57%Serve points won57%74%Return points won26%43%Games held6 of 109 of 10Break points saved5 of 91 of 2Aces91Double faults20
2026-09-25	Chengdu	Hard	J. Brooksby	2.13	54%	LOST
Games in each set7-5 5-7 2-6 SonegoBrooksbyPoints won45%55%Serve points won59%69%Return points won31%41%Games held12 of 1614 of 16Break points saved2 of 64 of 6Aces47Double faults31
2026-09-23	Chengdu	Hard	J. Duckworth	1.69	57%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 SonegoDuckworthPoints won56%44%Serve points won77%63%Return points won37%23%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved0 of 03 of 5Aces104Double faults11
2026-09-08	Genova	Clay	F. Passaro	1.62	60%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 4-6 4-6 SonegoPassaroPoints won48%52%Serve points won63%71%Return points won29%37%Games held12 of 1413 of 15Break points saved3 of 53 of 5Aces72Double faults14
2026-09-02	US Open	Hard	A. Zverev	14.46	93%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-3 7-6 5-7 4-6 SonegoZverevPoints won49%51%Serve points won65%70%Return points won30%35%Games held22 of 2723 of 26Break points saved17 of 222 of 5Aces1612Double faults48
2026-08-27	Winston-Salem	Hard	J. Duckworth	1.76	55%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 3-6 SonegoDuckworthPoints won46%54%Serve points won63%71%Return points won29%37%Games held8 of 1011 of 11Break points saved4 of 63 of 3Aces107Double faults31

J. Munar — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-19	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	F. Cina	1.40	69%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-3 MunarCinaPoints won58%42%Serve points won72%53%Return points won47%28%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved0 of 14 of 7Aces80Double faults22
2026-10-07	Shanghai	Hard	J. Brooksby	1.57	62%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 4-6 MunarBrooksbyPoints won44%56%Serve points won55%69%Return points won31%45%Games held7 of 119 of 11Break points saved7 of 113 of 5Aces33Double faults30
2026-10-05	Tokyo	Hard	C. Alcaraz	6.98	86%	LOST
Games in each set7-5 3-6 1-6 MunarAlcarazPoints won46%54%Serve points won53%61%Return points won39%47%Games held8 of 1411 of 14Break points saved4 of 102 of 5Aces23Double faults44
2026-10-04	Tokyo	Hard	K. Jacquet	1.70	57%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 MunarJacquetPoints won55%45%Serve points won66%57%Return points won43%34%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved4 of 44 of 7Aces31Double faults21
2026-10-02	Tokyo	Hard	J. Faria	1.59	61%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-1 MunarFariaPoints won65%35%Serve points won71%40%Return points won60%29%Games held6 of 71 of 7Break points saved1 of 22 of 8Aces20Double faults13
2026-09-30	Tokyo	Hard	T. Fritz	3.77	74%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-4 6-3 MunarFritzPoints won51%49%Serve points won67%62%Return points won38%33%Games held14 of 1512 of 16Break points saved7 of 89 of 13Aces107Double faults31
2026-09-29	Tokyo	Hard	A. Kovacevic	1.66	58%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-3 MunarKovacevicPoints won60%40%Serve points won71%52%Return points won48%29%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved3 of 40 of 4Aces103Double faults21
2026-09-28	Tokyo	Hard	M. Giron	—	—	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-1 6-4 MunarGironPoints won53%47%Serve points won63%56%Return points won44%37%Games held12 of 159 of 14Break points saved3 of 68 of 13Aces105Double faults02
2026-09-12	Seville	Clay	F. Diaz Acosta	1.90	51%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 3-6 6-7 MunarAcostaPoints won47%53%Serve points won62%67%Return points won33%38%Games held12 of 1513 of 16Break points saved4 of 74 of 7Aces54Double faults43
2026-09-11	Seville	Clay	R. Brancaccio	1.20	81%	WON
Games in each set2-6 6-1 6-1 MunarBrancaccioPoints won57%43%Serve points won62%47%Return points won53%38%Games held8 of 115 of 11Break points saved0 of 38 of 14Aces23Double faults44

Common questions

Who is favourite, Lorenzo Sonego or Jaume Munar?

Jaume Munar is favourite at 1.40, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Lorenzo Sonego vs Jaume Munar?

Lorenzo Sonego is 2.75 and Jaume Munar is 1.40, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.

What is the head-to-head between Lorenzo Sonego and Jaume Munar?

They have met 3 times and Jaume Munar leads 2-1.

Who will win Lorenzo Sonego vs Jaume Munar?

Our model makes it Jaume Munar to win at 1.40 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event

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