Tomas Machac v Martin Landaluce
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanT. Machac is 5-5 over the last ten and 15-15 on hard this season. M. Landaluce is 5-5 over the last ten and 18-21 on hard this season.
The pick is T. Machac to win. We make it a 64% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.56 or bigger. At 1.53 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| T. Machac | M. Landaluce | |
|---|---|---|
| 72 | Ranking | 73 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LWLWL | Last 5 | LLLWW |
| -0.2 | V the odds | -0.2 |
| 20-19 | Season | 31-31 |
| 15-15 | Hard 2026 | 18-21 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 5d | Days rest | 4d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
T. Machac — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | A. De Minaur | 2.97 | 67% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-1 4-6 3-6 MachacMinaurPoints won51%49%Serve points won57%56%Return points won44%43%Games held8 of 138 of 13Break points saved6 of 113 of 8Aces32Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | C. Moutet | 1.58 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 MachacMoutetPoints won58%42%Serve points won71%52%Return points won48%29%Games held7 of 74 of 6Break points saved0 of 02 of 4Aces51Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-22 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | K. Khachanov | 3.29 | 70% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 6-4 6-7 MachacKhachanovPoints won48%52%Serve points won66%71%Return points won29%34%Games held13 of 1514 of 15Break points saved4 of 614 of 15Aces314Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | Z. Nurlanuly | 1.04 | 93% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-0 MachacNurlanulyPoints won65%35%Serve points won69%40%Return points won60%31%Games held6 of 71 of 7Break points saved3 of 42 of 8Aces80Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-16 | Jinan | Hard | L. Draxl | 1.38 | 70% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 6-3 4-6 MachacDraxlPoints won50%50%Serve points won56%56%Return points won44%44%Games held10 of 1510 of 14Break points saved5 of 1012 of 16Aces85Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-10-15 | Jinan | Hard | A. Vukic | 1.45 | 67% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-1 MachacVukicPoints won61%39%Serve points won72%49%Return points won51%28%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved0 of 02 of 6Aces52Double faults02 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | A. Muller | 1.45 | 67% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 MachacMullerPoints won56%44%Serve points won69%54%Return points won46%31%Games held8 of 96 of 10Break points saved1 of 24 of 8Aces42Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Bublik | 2.73 | 64% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 6-7 MachacBublikPoints won44%56%Serve points won60%77%Return points won23%40%Games held9 of 1110 of 11Break points saved4 of 60 of 1Aces418Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | Z. Zhang | 1.43 | 68% | WON | |
Games in each set1-6 7-6 6-2 MachacZhangPoints won51%49%Serve points won61%57%Return points won43%39%Games held9 of 1310 of 14Break points saved8 of 127 of 11Aces510Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | Hard | A. Molcan | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 2-6 MachacMolcanPoints won36%64%Serve points won52%82%Return points won18%48%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved3 of 60 of 0Aces25Double faults20 | |||||||
M. Landaluce — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | A. Zverev | 8.76 | 89% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 6-3 6-7 LandaluceZverevPoints won49%51%Serve points won66%73%Return points won27%34%Games held15 of 1714 of 16Break points saved5 of 72 of 4Aces68Double faults44 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | S. Wawrinka | 1.61 | 60% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 7-6 6-7 LandaluceWawrinkaPoints won49%51%Serve points won69%73%Return points won27%31%Games held15 of 1617 of 17Break points saved9 of 104 of 4Aces716Double faults51 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | Jinan | Hard | M. Bellucci | 2.41 | 60% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 6-4 3-6 LandaluceBellucciPoints won45%55%Serve points won62%71%Return points won29%38%Games held10 of 1313 of 14Break points saved1 of 45 of 6Aces18Double faults14 | |||||||
| 2026-10-17 | Jinan | Hard | L. Draxl | 1.56 | 62% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-3 LandaluceDraxlPoints won54%46%Serve points won64%58%Return points won42%36%Games held9 of 117 of 10Break points saved4 of 63 of 6Aces67Double faults42 | |||||||
| 2026-10-16 | Jinan | Hard | K. Smith | 1.35 | 72% | WON | |
Games in each set3-6 6-2 6-3 LandaluceSmithPoints won55%45%Serve points won68%57%Return points won43%32%Games held11 of 139 of 13Break points saved5 of 76 of 10Aces64Double faults43 | |||||||
| 2026-10-14 | Jinan | Hard | J. Cui | 1.31 | 74% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-5 LandaluceCuiPoints won54%46%Serve points won64%56%Return points won44%36%Games held9 of 117 of 11Break points saved7 of 96 of 10Aces61Double faults40 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | I. Simakin | 1.74 | 56% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-3 LandaluceSimakinPoints won57%43%Serve points won64%51%Return points won49%36%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved8 of 93 of 7Aces32Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | J-L. Struff | 2.03 | 52% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 4-6 LandaluceStruffPoints won47%53%Serve points won60%62%Return points won38%40%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved1 of 47 of 8Aces613Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Beijing | Hard | M. Trungelliti | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 7-6 6-7 LandaluceTrungellitiPoints won46%54%Serve points won59%65%Return points won35%41%Games held10 of 1513 of 16Break points saved0 of 52 of 5Aces39Double faults67 | |||||||
| 2026-09-20 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | M. Soto | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 LandaluceSotoPoints won59%41%Serve points won77%60%Return points won40%23%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved1 of 13 of 6Aces23Double faults02 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Tomas Machac or Martin Landaluce?
Tomas Machac is favourite at 1.46, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Tomas Machac vs Martin Landaluce?
Tomas Machac is 1.46 and Martin Landaluce is 2.79, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.
Who will win Tomas Machac vs Martin Landaluce?
Our model makes it Tomas Machac to win at 1.53 (Lean confidence).