ATP Challenger Guangzhou 2026 Preview: Draw, Title Odds
The ATP Challenger Guangzhou main draw begins on 18 October, with Marat Sharipov, Yibing Wu and Coleman Wong Chak Lam leading the field. 45 players and 26 singles matches in the draw so far, hard court.
When is the ATP Challenger Guangzhou?
The tournament starts on 18 October. Matches are listed to 19 October so far; the later rounds join the card as the draw is published.
Who are the title favourites for the ATP Challenger Guangzhou?
Marat Sharipov is the favourite with a 20.1% chance of the title, ahead of Yibing Wu on 18.6%. Worked out round by round from the published draw and our player ratings.
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Marat Sharipov | 20.1% | 5.0 |
| Yibing Wu 2 | 18.6% | 5.4 |
| Coleman Wong Chak Lam 1 | 18.1% | 5.5 |
| Jay Dylan Hara Friend | 6.1% | 16.5 |
| Tristan Schoolkate 3 | 4.9% | 20.4 |
| Keegan Smith 7 | 4.4% | 22.8 |
| Zhizhen Zhang 4 | 4.1% | 24.4 |
| Yi Zhou | 4.0% | 24.9 |
| Cruz Hewitt | 3.6% | 27.6 |
| Hsiou Hsu Yu | 2.6% | 38.3 |
What is the surface at the ATP Challenger Guangzhou?
The tournament is played on hard court.
Very fast court. How it has actually played, against the average for its level.
Servers held
+8.3% vs tour average 72.9%
Serve points won
+5.1% vs tour average 60.6%
Sets to a tiebreak
+3.9% vs tour average 14.1%
Aces
+0.32 vs tour average 0.31
Measured from 71 matches played at this event, against the average for its level over the same period. Not a surface label.
Which players come to the ATP Challenger Guangzhou in form?
Win-loss over the last five weeks, across every event, from our own results record.
| Player | Last 5 weeks | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Alibek Kachmazov | 17-1 | 94% |
| Max Purcell | 5-1 | 83% |
| Millen Hurrion | 10-4 | 71% |
| Kang Leong Mitsuki Wei | 7-3 | 70% |
| Alexandr Binda | 8-4 | 67% |
| Coleman Wong Chak Lam | 4-2 | 67% |
Which players are carrying an injury into the tournament?
Retirements, walkovers and medical timeouts from our own tracking. A short price on a player who has not finished a match lately is the easiest way to lose money at this level.
| Player | Recent | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Saba Purtseladze | W 2-0, L 1-2, W 2-0 | 2 retirements in 90 days |
| Luca Castelnuovo | W 2-0, L 1-2, L 1-2 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Xiaoyin Yang | L 0-2, L 0-2, RET | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Fumin Jiang | RET, L 0-2, L 1-2 | retired once in the last 3 matches |
| Kasidit Samrej | W 2-1, L 0-2, W 2-0 | 1 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
| Jie Cui | L 0-2, W 2-0, L 1-2 | 2 medical timeout(s) in 14 days |
Playing a first match in a while, with nothing physical on their record: Hsiou Hsu Yu (29 days), Ognjen Milic (28 days). A gap between tournaments is normal at this time of year - treat it as rust, not as a doubt.
Which home players are in the ATP Challenger Guangzhou?
9 players from China are in the singles draw. Fumin Jiang, Fajing Sun, Jie Cui, Rigele Te, Qian Sun, Xiaoyin Yang, Yibing Wu, Yaojie Zeng, Zhizhen Zhang.
What are the first round matchups at the ATP Challenger Guangzhou?
| Match | Time (UTC) | Prices | Market makes it |
|---|---|---|---|
| X. C. Huang v Semen Pankin | 05:00 | — | — |
| Arthur Weber v Dominik Palan | 05:00 | 1.22 / 4.00 | 77% A. Weber |
| Xiaoyin Yang v Khumoyun Sultanov | 05:00 | 8.00 / 1.06 | 88% K. Sultanov |
| Millen Hurrion v Koki Matsuda | 06:30 | 1.43 / 2.81 | 66% M. Hurrion |
| Masamichi Imamura v Saba Purtseladze | 06:30 | 1.63 / 2.25 | 58% M. Imamura |
| Omar Jasika v Hiroki Moriya | 06:30 | 1.49 / 2.60 | 64% O. Jasika |
| Kasidit Samrej v Naoya Honda | 08:00 | 1.38 / 2.99 | 68% K. Samrej |
| Yuta Shimizu v Alibek Kachmazov | 08:00 | 2.75 / 1.40 | 66% A. Kachmazov |
| Yaojie Zeng v Evan Zhu | 08:00 | 3.61 / 1.28 | 74% E. Zhu |
| Yuta Shimizu v Max Purcell | 08:00 | — | — |
| Yaroslav Demin v Alexandr Binda | 09:30 | 1.79 / 2.01 | 53% Y. Demin |
| Kang Leong Mitsuki Wei v Fumin Jiang | 09:30 | 1.05 / 9.55 | 90% W. K. Leong M. |
| Egor Pleshivtsev v Luca Castelnuovo | 09:30 | 2.53 / 1.51 | 63% L. Castelnuovo |