THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 21 OCTOBERMATCHES 372EVENTS 40LIVE 17ALERTS 3
ChallengerHardGuangzhou2026-10-22 04:00

Liam Broady v Akira Santillan

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean
A. Santillan to win2.50
Worth backing at 2.31 or bigger · our chance 43% · market 63/37, us 57/43

A. Santillan is 5-5 over the last ten and 25-24 on hard this season. L. Broady is 1-9 over the last ten and 25-21 on hard this season. A. Santillan took a medical timeout on 2026-10-09.

The pick is A. Santillan to win. We make it a 43% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.31 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

L. BroadyA. Santillan
208Ranking324
1-9Last 105-5
WLLLLLast 5WLWWL
-4.2V the odds-0.2
30-26Season34-29
25-21Hard 202625-24
1Last 7 days1
2dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessMTO
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

L. BroadyFAV1.4463%
A. Santillan2.5037%
Market says63% Broady

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

L. Broady
A. Santillan
30-26
25-21
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
34-29
25-24
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Liam Broady
United Kingdom
Akira Santillan
Japan
208
32
United Kingdom
29–24
1
23–17
4–4
2–3
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
324
29
Japan
32–28
0
22–21
10–7
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

L. Broady — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-20GuangzhouHardD. Palan1.2477%WON
2026-10-12RoanneHard (Indoor)S. Gueymard Wayenburg3.2370%LOST
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)D. Stricker2.9568%LOST
2026-08-24US OpenHardM. Cecchinato1.3272%LOST
2026-08-13Brownsburg (Usa) - QualificationHardD. Suresh1.8652%LOST
2026-08-04LexingtonHardO. Baris1.7056%LOST
2026-07-29VancouverHardJ. D. Hara Friend1.7156%LOST
2026-07-21WinnipegHardY. Shimizu1.3969%LOST
2026-07-14GranbyHardA. Vukic1.5960%LOST
2026-07-10NewportGrassA. Michelsen5.2381%LOST

A. Santillan — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-20GuangzhouHardY. Demin1.9250%WON
2026-10-09Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardK. Saitoh1.6260%LOST
2026-10-07Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardY. Demin1.7256%WON
2026-10-05Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardL. Castelnuovo1.8350%WON
2026-09-29JingshanHardL. Pavlovic2.2559%LOST
2026-09-23HangzhouHardA. Bolt2.8766%LOST
2026-09-22HangzhouHardK. Kang——WON
2026-09-16Guangzhou 2HardP. Kotov3.7275%LOST
2026-09-14Guangzhou 2HardY. Zeng1.2975%WON
2026-09-08ShanghaiHardB. Tomic3.5072%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Liam Broady or Akira Santillan?

Liam Broady is favourite at 1.44, which is a 63% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan?

Liam Broady is 1.44 and Akira Santillan is 2.50, the prices we recorded for the Guangzhou match.

Who will win Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan?

Our model makes it Akira Santillan to win at 2.50 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event