ChallengerHardGuangzhou2026-10-22 04:00

Jie Cui v Yibing Wu

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

Y. Wu to win 2-01.61

Price too short today - wait for 1.90 or bigger · our chance 53% · market 21/79, us 18/82

Y. Wu is 5-5 over the last ten and 19-12 on hard this season. J. Cui is 4-6 over the last ten and 25-23 on hard this season. J. Cui took a medical timeout on 2026-10-14.

The pick is Y. Wu to win 2-0. We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.90 or bigger. At 1.61 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. Cui		Y. Wu
420	Ranking	113
4-6	Last 10	5-5
WLWLL	Last 5	WLWLW
-0.1	V the odds	+0.1
25-24	Season	29-20
25-23	Hard 2026	19-12
1	Last 7 days	1
3d	Days rest	3d
1	Wins here	1
MTO	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. Cui4.3321%

Y. WuFAV1.1779%

Market says79% Wu

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

J. CuiWLWLL

Y. WuWLWLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

J. Cui

Y. Wu

25-24

25-23

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

29-20

19-12

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Jie Cui

China

Yibing Wu

China

420

China

23–23

23–22

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

113

China

27–19

16–10

9–4

1–5

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Cui — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-19	Guangzhou	Hard	Y. H. Hsu	1.70	56%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-4 CuiHsuPoints won58%42%Serve points won65%48%Return points won52%35%Games held7 of 94 of 9Break points saved1 of 32 of 7Aces66Double faults10
2026-10-14	Jinan	Hard	M. Landaluce	3.73	74%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 5-7 CuiLandalucePoints won46%54%Serve points won56%64%Return points won36%44%Games held7 of 119 of 11Break points saved6 of 107 of 9Aces16Double faults04
2026-10-12	Jinan	Hard	F. Sun	1.83	53%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-5 CuiSunPoints won54%46%Serve points won64%58%Return points won42%36%Games held10 of 117 of 10Break points saved3 of 43 of 6Aces44Double faults32
2026-10-05	Shanghai	Hard	A. Vukic	2.87	67%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 6-7 6-7 CuiVukicPoints won49%51%Serve points won59%61%Return points won39%41%Games held12 of 1711 of 17Break points saved9 of 143 of 9Aces1315Double faults23
2026-09-29	Beijing	Hard	B. Van De Zandschulp	4.35	79%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 CuiZandschulpPoints won44%56%Serve points won63%79%Return points won21%37%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved1 of 32 of 2Aces39Double faults12
2026-09-28	Beijing	Hard	D. Altmaier	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-1 CuiAltmaierPoints won59%41%Serve points won72%51%Return points won49%28%Games held7 of 84 of 9Break points saved1 of 20 of 5Aces26Double faults11
2026-09-23	Hangzhou	Hard	D. Vallejo	3.36	71%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 7-6 4-6 CuiVallejoPoints won47%53%Serve points won63%69%Return points won31%37%Games held11 of 1514 of 14Break points saved9 of 134 of 4Aces17Double faults31
2026-09-18	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	N. Budkov Kjaer	12.00	92%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 4-6 4-6 CuiKjaerPoints won45%55%Serve points won59%74%Return points won26%41%Games held12 of 1513 of 15Break points saved4 of 73 of 5Aces210Double faults43
2026-09-09	Shanghai	Hard	Y. Zhou	2.68	64%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6 CuiZhouPoints won45%55%Serve points won64%76%Return points won24%36%Games held9 of 1110 of 11Break points saved3 of 53 of 4Aces614Double faults00
2026-09-08	Shanghai	Hard	F. Sun	2.22	58%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-4 CuiSunPoints won57%43%Serve points won77%57%Return points won43%23%Games held11 of 119 of 11Break points saved2 of 26 of 8Aces66Double faults00

Y. Wu — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-19	Guangzhou	Hard	H. Matsuoka	1.19	81%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-3 WuMatsuokaPoints won61%39%Serve points won76%51%Return points won49%24%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved0 of 12 of 6
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	A. Zverev	7.21	87%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-7 WuZverevPoints won45%55%Serve points won66%78%Return points won22%34%Games held9 of 1110 of 11Break points saved3 of 50 of 1Aces65Double faults01
2026-10-07	Shanghai	Hard	M. Zheng	1.75	56%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-6 WuZhengPoints won56%44%Serve points won74%61%Return points won39%26%Games held11 of 119 of 10Break points saved2 of 22 of 3Aces56Double faults11
2026-09-04	US Open	Hard	C. Alcaraz	12.78	92%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 1-6 WuAlcarazPoints won44%56%Serve points won50%63%Return points won37%50%Games held6 of 1311 of 13Break points saved8 of 155 of 7Aces16Double faults54
2026-09-02	US Open	Hard	J. Duckworth	1.68	58%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-3 6-1 WuDuckworthPoints won59%41%Serve points won78%55%Return points won45%22%Games held14 of 149 of 14Break points saved0 of 09 of 14Aces129Double faults18
2026-08-30	US Open	Hard	A. Walton	2.19	56%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 7-5 WuWaltonPoints won54%46%Serve points won69%61%Return points won39%31%Games held15 of 1612 of 16Break points saved5 of 68 of 12Aces915Double faults45
2026-08-23	Winston-Salem	Hard	F. Comesana	1.60	61%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 WuComesanaPoints won41%59%Serve points won54%69%Return points won31%46%Games held6 of 99 of 10Break points saved1 of 45 of 6Aces17Double faults15
2026-08-13	Cincinnati	Hard	J. Faria	1.85	52%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 5-7 WuFariaPoints won46%54%Serve points won55%64%Return points won36%45%Games held7 of 119 of 10Break points saved1 of 52 of 3Aces09Double faults32
2026-08-12	Cincinnati	Hard	M. McDonald	1.51	64%	WON
Games in each set7-6 1-6 7-5 WuMcDonaldPoints won49%51%Serve points won62%67%Return points won33%38%Games held12 of 1514 of 16Break points saved8 of 115 of 7Aces59Double faults63
2026-07-17	Lincoln	Hard	Y. Bu	1.65	58%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 WuBuPoints won45%55%Serve points won65%77%Return points won23%35%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved1 of 30 of 0Aces52Double faults11

Common questions

Who is favourite, Jie Cui or Yibing Wu?

Yibing Wu is favourite at 1.17, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Jie Cui vs Yibing Wu?

Jie Cui is 4.33 and Yibing Wu is 1.17, the prices we recorded for the Guangzhou match.

Who will win Jie Cui vs Yibing Wu?

Our model makes it Yibing Wu to win 2-0 at 1.61 (Lean confidence).

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