THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 11 OCTOBERMATCHES 146EVENTS 45ALERTS 59
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-10 04:00

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Rafael Jodar

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
T. A. Tirante to win3.06
Worth backing at 2.71 or bigger · our chance 37% · market 32/68, us 37/63

T. A. Tirante is 6-4 over the last ten and 17-11 on hard this season. R. Jodar is 6-4 over the last ten and 33-13 on hard this season.

The pick is T. A. Tirante to win. We make it a 37% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.71 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. A. TiranteR. Jodar
52Ranking13
6-4Last 106-4
WLWLLLast 5LWWLL
+0.9V the odds-1.0
33-20Season51-17
17-11Hard 202633-13
1Last 7 days0
3dDays rest10d
1Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. A. Tirante3.0632%
R. JodarFAV1.4268%
Market says68% Jodar

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

T. A. Tirante0
R. Jodar1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-10ShanghaiT. A. TirantevR. Jodar1 - 2

This season & this event

T. A. Tirante
R. Jodar
33-21
17-12
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
52-17
34-13
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Thiago Agustin Tirante
Argentina
Rafael Jodar
Spain
52
25
Argentina
32–19
0
14–9
15–7
1–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
13
20
Spain
51–16
1
29–11
19–4
2–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. A. Tirante — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardR. Jodar1 - 23.0668%LOST
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardH. Medjedovic2 - 01.7456%WON
2026-09-30BeijingHardJ-L. Struff2 - 01.5762%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryM. Alkaya2 - 01.1882%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardA. Mannarino2 - 31.4069%LOST
2026-08-21CincinnatiHardA. Fils0 - 23.9375%LOST
2026-08-19CincinnatiHardJ. Mensik2 - 12.7464%WON
2026-08-17CincinnatiHardM. Landaluce2 - 01.7355%WON
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardN. Djokovic1 - 24.0176%WON
2026-08-13CincinnatiHardJ. Choinski2 - 11.5065%WON

R. Jodar — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardT. A. Tirante1 - 21.4268%WON
2026-09-30TokyoHardD. Vallejo2 - 01.2379%LOST
2026-09-25ATP Laver CupHard (Indoor)A. Bublik2 - 01.5662%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsC. Garin0 - 21.2577%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardY. Bu0 - 31.0790%LOST
2026-08-19CincinnatiHardF. Cobolli1 - 21.3373%LOST
2026-08-17CincinnatiHardA. Tabilo2 - 01.4067%WON
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardD. Shapovalov2 - 11.4368%WON
2026-08-13MontrealHardB. Nakashima0 - 21.4368%LOST
2026-08-11MontrealHardA. Fils2 - 01.7257%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Thiago Agustin Tirante or Rafael Jodar?

Rafael Jodar is favourite at 1.42, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Rafael Jodar?

Thiago Agustin Tirante is 3.06 and Rafael Jodar is 1.42, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Rafael Jodar?

They have met 1 time and Rafael Jodar leads 1-0.

Who will win Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Rafael Jodar?

Our model makes it Thiago Agustin Tirante to win at 3.06 (Solid confidence).

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