THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 11 OCTOBERMATCHES 146EVENTS 45ALERTS 59
ATPHardShanghai · 1/32-finals2026-10-10 04:00

Arthur Gea v Ugo Humbert

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongWON
A. Gea to win1.85
Worth backing at 1.68 or bigger · our chance 60% · market 52/48, us 60/40

A. Gea is 7-3 over the last ten and 29-8 on hard this season. U. Humbert is 4-6 over the last ten and 13-16 on hard this season.

The pick is A. Gea to win. We make it a 60% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.68 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. GeaU. Humbert
58Ranking32
7-3Last 104-6
WLWWWLast 5LWLLL
+1.2V the odds-1.4
46-18Season26-24
29-8Hard 202613-16
1Last 7 days1
3dDays rest7d
1Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. GeaFAV1.8552%
U. Humbert2.0448%
Market says52% Gea

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Gea1
U. Humbert0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-09ShanghaiA. GeavU. Humbert2 - 1

This season & this event

A. Gea
U. Humbert
48-18
31-8
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
26-25
13-17
Lost R32 to H. Rune
Lost R32 to G. Monfils

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Arthur Gea
France
Ugo Humbert
France
58
21
France
43–17
2
26–5
12–8
5–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
32
28
France
25–21
0
12–12
5–5
8–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Gea — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12ShanghaiHardB. Shelton0 - 23.4472%WON
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardU. Humbert2 - 11.8552%WON
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardJ. Faria2 - 11.5662%WON
2026-10-02BeijingHardH. Hurkacz2 - 12.2857%LOST
2026-09-30BeijingHardZ. Zhang0 - 21.2975%WON
2026-09-29BeijingHardT. Machac0 - 21.6257%WON
2026-09-28BeijingHardR. Te0 - 2——WON
2026-09-07US OpenHardB. Van De Zandschulp2 - 32.4059%LOST
2026-09-05US OpenHardM. Zheng2 - 32.2256%WON
2026-09-03US OpenHardZ. Svajda1 - 32.1255%WON

U. Humbert — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardA. Gea2 - 12.0452%LOST
2026-10-03TokyoHardJ. Lehecka1 - 22.5361%LOST
2026-09-30TokyoHardB. Nakashima0 - 22.8366%WON
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardM. Zheng0 - 21.9051%LOST
2026-08-06MontrealHardD. Merida Aguilar0 - 21.4368%LOST
2026-07-31WashingtonHardB. Shelton1 - 22.9967%LOST
2026-07-28WashingtonHardA. Martin2 - 01.2379%WON
2026-06-30WimbledonGrassZ. Bergs2 - 31.4866%LOST
2026-06-28EastbourneGrassZ. Bergs2 - 11.3970%LOST
2026-06-26EastbourneGrassJ. Draper0 - 22.7064%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Arthur Gea or Ugo Humbert?

Arthur Gea is favourite at 1.85, which is a 52% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert?

Arthur Gea is 1.85 and Ugo Humbert is 2.04, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Arthur Gea and Ugo Humbert?

They have met 1 time and Arthur Gea leads 1-0.

Who will win Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert?

Our model makes it Arthur Gea to win at 1.85 (Strong confidence).

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