THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 11 OCTOBERMATCHES 146EVENTS 45ALERTS 59
ATPHardShanghai · 1/32-finals2026-10-10 04:00

Miomir Kecmanovic v Jakub Mensik

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
J. Mensik to win1.34
Price too short today - wait for 1.35 or bigger · our chance 74% · market 28/72, us 26/74

J. Mensik is 5-5 over the last ten and 26-14 on hard this season. M. Kecmanovic is 4-6 over the last ten and 14-18 on hard this season. The head to head is M. Kecmanovic 0-2.

The pick is J. Mensik to win. We make it a 74% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.35 or bigger. At 1.34 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. KecmanovicJ. Mensik
60Ranking14
4-6Last 105-5
WLLWLLast 5LWLWL
-1.4V the odds-1.4
23-26Season35-20
14-18Hard 202626-14
1Last 7 days1
3dDays rest7d
1Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
0-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. Kecmanovic3.8125%
J. MensikFAV1.3075%
Market says75% Mensik

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Kecmanovic0
J. Mensik3
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-09ShanghaiM. KecmanovicvJ. Mensik0 - 2
2025-09-26BeijingM. KecmanovicvJ. Mensik0 - 2
2024-10-24ATP ViennaJ. MensikvM. Kecmanovic2 - 0

This season & this event

M. Kecmanovic
J. Mensik
23-27
14-19
Lost R128 to L. Tien
Lost R64 to A. Popyrin
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
37-20
28-14
Lost R64 to J. De Jong
Lost QF to N. Djokovic

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Miomir Kecmanovic
Serbia
Jakub Mensik
Czech Republic
60
27
Serbia
22–24
1
11–14
8–7
2–3
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
14
21
Czech Republic
33–18
1
23–11
8–4
1–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Kecmanovic — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardJ. Mensik0 - 23.8175%LOST
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardS. Shimabukuro0 - 21.4268%WON
2026-09-28BeijingHardA. Mannarino1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-24ChengduHardN. Basilashvili0 - 21.6459%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryE. Butvilas2 - 11.4070%WON
2026-08-30US OpenHardD. Shapovalov1 - 32.2457%LOST
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardF. Marozsan0 - 21.7755%LOST
2026-08-23Winston-SalemHardS. Shimabukuro0 - 21.4467%WON
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardF. Cobolli1 - 22.0853%LOST
2026-08-13CincinnatiHardC. Ugo Carabelli0 - 21.3473%WON

J. Mensik — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12ShanghaiHardF. Cerundolo1 - 21.6559%WON
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardM. Kecmanovic0 - 21.3075%WON
2026-10-03BeijingHardF. Cerundolo2 - 01.5264%LOST
2026-09-30BeijingHardA. Bublik0 - 21.5762%WON
2026-09-25ATP Laver CupHard (Indoor)B. Nakashima1 - 21.6857%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsB. Shelton2 - 12.2457%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsL. Tien0 - 21.6258%LOST
2026-09-06US OpenHardL. Tien2 - 32.2657%LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardJ. Rodionov3 - 11.1386%WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardS. Mochizuki3 - 01.1187%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Miomir Kecmanovic or Jakub Mensik?

Jakub Mensik is favourite at 1.30, which is a 75% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Miomir Kecmanovic vs Jakub Mensik?

Miomir Kecmanovic is 3.81 and Jakub Mensik is 1.30, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Miomir Kecmanovic and Jakub Mensik?

They have met 3 times and Jakub Mensik leads 3-0.

Who will win Miomir Kecmanovic vs Jakub Mensik?

Our model makes it Jakub Mensik to win at 1.34 (Lean confidence).

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