Samuele Pieri v Daniel Rincon
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWOND. Rincon is 5-5 over the last ten and 12-14 on hard this season. S. Pieri is 6-4 over the last ten and 0-1 on hard this season.
The pick is D. Rincon to win. We make it a 79% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.27 or bigger. At 1.20 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| S. Pieri | D. Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| 398 | Ranking | 245 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LWWWW | Last 5 | LWLWW |
| +1.9 | V the odds | -0.3 |
| 41-28 | Season | 37-27 |
| 0-1 | Hard 2026 | 12-14 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 7d | Days rest | 4d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Olbia | S. PierivD. Rincon | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
S. Pieri — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Olbia | Hard | D. Rincon | 0 - 2 | 4.99 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | M. Krumich | 0 - 2 | 2.62 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-10-04 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | J. C. Martin Manzano | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-10-03 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | V. Sachko | 1 - 2 | 3.81 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | C. Taberner | 2 - 1 | 4.02 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | L. Lokoli | 0 - 2 | 2.41 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | A. Martin | 2 - 0 | 1.75 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | J. C. Martin Manzano | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-17 | Biella | Clay | A. Barrena | 2 - 0 | 2.35 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Biella | Clay | G. Piraino | 1 - 2 | 2.04 | 53% | WON |
D. Rincon — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Olbia | Hard | S. Pieri | 0 - 2 | 1.20 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-10-08 | Villena | Clay | P. Martinez | 0 - 2 | 1.76 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Villena | Clay | A. Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | 1.50 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Porto | Clay | D. Jorda Sanchis | 0 - 2 | 1.36 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Porto | Clay | L. Djere | 2 - 0 | 2.13 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | Clay | F. Tabacco | 0 - 2 | 1.36 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | D. Prizmic | 2 - 0 | 4.50 | 80% | LOST |
| 2026-09-17 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | T. Droguet | 1 - 2 | 3.48 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | H. Stewart | 1 - 0 RET | 1.49 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Cassis | Hard | U. Blanchet | 2 - 1 | 1.99 | 52% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Samuele Pieri or Daniel Rincon?
Daniel Rincon is favourite at 1.20, which is a 81% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Samuele Pieri vs Daniel Rincon?
Samuele Pieri is 4.99 and Daniel Rincon is 1.20, the prices we recorded for the Olbia match.
What is the head-to-head between Samuele Pieri and Daniel Rincon?
They have met 1 time and Daniel Rincon leads 1-0.
Who will win Samuele Pieri vs Daniel Rincon?
Our model makes it Daniel Rincon to win at 1.20 (Lean confidence).