THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 13 OCTOBERMATCHES 224EVENTS 35LIVE 2ALERTS 135
ChallengerHardOlbia2026-10-12 11:00

Hynek Barton v M. Mrva

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongVOID
M. Mrva to win2.47
Worth backing at 2.16 or bigger · our chance 46% · market 61/39, us 54/46

M. Mrva is 6-4 over the last ten and 10-6 on hard this season. H. Barton is 5-5 over the last ten and 17-8 on hard this season. H. Barton took a medical timeout on 2026-10-09. H. Barton has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is M. Mrva to win. We make it a 46% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.16 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

H. BartonM. Mrva
-Ranking-
5-5Last 106-4
LWWLWLast 5LWLLW
-1.1V the odds-0.6
43-28Season30-24
17-8Hard 202610-6
4Last 7 days0
3dDays rest18d
0Wins here0
MTOFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

H. BartonFAV1.5961%
M. Mrva2.4739%
Market says61% Barton

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

H. Barton
M. Mrva
43-29
17-9
Did not play
Lost R16 to M. Bellucci
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
31-24
11-6
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Hynek Barton
Czech Republic
M. Mrva
304
22
Czech Republic
48–28
0
18–11
30–17
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

H. Barton — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12OlbiaHardM. Mrva0 - 1 RET1.5961%LOST
2026-10-09VillenaClayL. Djere2 - 02.6563%LOST
2026-10-08VillenaClayM. H. Rehberg1 - 22.1755%WON
2026-10-06VillenaClayT. Samuel2 - 04.6179%WON
2026-10-05VillenaClayP. Nesterov1 - 21.6160%LOST
2026-10-04VillenaClayS. Latinovic2 - 01.0888%WON
2026-09-17SzczecinClayZ. Kolar0 - 21.7255%LOST
2026-09-15SzczecinClayR. Brancaccio2 - 11.6158%WON
2026-09-08TullnClayN. Hipfl2 - 01.1385%LOST
2026-08-27AugsburgClayB. Sanchez Martinez2 - 01.6060%LOST

M. Mrva — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12OlbiaHardH. Barton0 - 1 RET2.4761%WON
2026-09-24Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayI. Almazan Valiente2 - 11.5163%LOST
2026-09-22Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayN. Mashtakov1 - 2——WON
2026-09-07TullnClayM. Moeller0 - 0 RET1.6957%LOST
2026-09-03Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayF. Iannaccone2 - 01.2276%LOST
2026-09-01Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayO. Prihodko1 - 21.3173%WON
2026-08-20PragueClayJ. Kumstat0 - 21.9951%LOST
2026-08-19PragueClayC. Cretu0 - 21.5562%WON
2026-08-18PragueClayN. Fatic2 - 11.5860%WON
2026-08-16TodiClayN. Kicker0 - 21.4962%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Hynek Barton or M. Mrva?

Hynek Barton is favourite at 1.59, which is a 61% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Hynek Barton vs M. Mrva?

Hynek Barton is 1.59 and M. Mrva is 2.47, the prices we recorded for the Olbia match.

Who will win Hynek Barton vs M. Mrva?

Our model makes it M. Mrva to win at 2.47 (Strong confidence).

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