Mathys Erhard v Leo Raquillet
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONM. Erhard is 5-5 over the last ten and 16-13 on hard this season. L. Raquillet is 4-6 over the last ten and 19-15 on hard this season. M. Erhard took a medical timeout on 2026-09-28. The head to head is M. Erhard 1-0.
The pick is M. Erhard to win 2-0. We make it a 49% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.06 or bigger. At 1.90 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Erhard | L. Raquillet | |
|---|---|---|
| 346 | Ranking | 766 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| WLLWL | Last 5 | WLLWL |
| -0.7 | V the odds | -2.5 |
| 33-27 | Season | 27-26 |
| 16-13 | Hard 2026 | 19-15 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| MTO | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Olbia | M. ErhardvL. Raquillet | 2 - 0 |
| 2024-04-25 | ITF M25 Angers Men | L. RaquilletvM. Erhard | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Erhard — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Olbia | Hard | V. Royer | 0 - 2 | 3.73 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-10-12 | Olbia | Hard | L. Raquillet | 2 - 0 | 1.29 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-10-11 | Olbia | Hard | L. Rocco | 2 - 0 | 1.01 | 94% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Villena | Clay | O. Tarvet | 0 - 2 | 3.94 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | A. Barroso Campos | 1 - 2 | 1.24 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | P. Theate | 2 - 0 | 1.04 | 90% | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | St. Tropez | Hard | P. Zahraj | 2 - 1 | 1.37 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-09-09 | Cassis | Hard | D. Glinka | 0 - 1 RET | 2.32 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Cassis | Hard | B. Pietri | 0 - 2 | 1.16 | 83% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | I. Montes-De La Torre | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
L. Raquillet — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Olbia | Hard | M. Erhard | 2 - 0 | 3.69 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-10-11 | Olbia | Hard | G. A. Boitan | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-15 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | Y. Ghazouani Durand | 0 - 2 | 2.58 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | Cassis | Hard | Y. Ghazouani Durand | 2 - 0 | 1.93 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-09-06 | Cassis | Hard | M. Covato | 0 - 2 | 1.05 | 90% | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | M15 Cap d'Agde | Clay | L. Couturier | 2 - 1 | 1.12 | 86% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | M15 Cap d'Agde | Clay | M. Roche | 0 - 2 | 1.04 | 93% | WON |
| 2026-08-17 | Sion (Switzerland) | Clay | B. Hassan | 2 - 1 | 2.25 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-08-16 | Sion (Switzerland) | Clay | A. Berrut | 1 - 2 | 1.34 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-08-02 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Hard | O. Paldanius | 2 - 1 | 1.83 | 52% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Mathys Erhard or Leo Raquillet?
Mathys Erhard is favourite at 1.29, which is a 74% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Mathys Erhard vs Leo Raquillet?
Mathys Erhard is 1.29 and Leo Raquillet is 3.69, the prices we recorded for the Olbia match.
What is the head-to-head between Mathys Erhard and Leo Raquillet?
They have met 2 times and Mathys Erhard leads 2-0.
Who will win Mathys Erhard vs Leo Raquillet?
Our model makes it Mathys Erhard to win 2-0 at 1.90 (Lean confidence).