Aziz Dougaz v Damir Dzumhur
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWOND. Dzumhur is 4-6 over the last ten and 7-13 on hard this season. A. Dougaz is 7-3 over the last ten and 31-10 on hard this season. A. Dougaz took a medical timeout on 2026-10-06.
The pick is D. Dzumhur to win. We make it a 60% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.67 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Dougaz | D. Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| 423 | Ranking | 102 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LWLWW | Last 5 | LWLWL |
| -0.2 | V the odds | -0.7 |
| 33-15 | Season | 20-29 |
| 31-10 | Hard 2026 | 7-13 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 6d | Days rest | 4d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| MTO | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Dougaz — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Olbia | Hard | D. Dzumhur | 1 - 2 | 2.29 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai | Hard | F. Cina | 1 - 2 | 3.06 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | L. Sonego | 1 - 2 | 4.40 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | R. Komagata | 2 - 0 | 1.02 | 92% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | M. Shoaib | 2 - 0 | 1.14 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-06 | M15 Monastir 29 | Hard | C. Bouchelaghem | 0 - 2 | 1.30 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-09-05 | M15 Monastir 29 | Hard | J. Plans | 0 - 2 | 1.05 | 92% | WON |
| 2026-09-04 | M15 Monastir 29 | Hard | N. Jadoun | 0 - 2 | 1.09 | 83% | WON |
| 2026-09-03 | M15 Monastir 29 | Hard | E. Ambarzumjan | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | M15 Monastir 29 | Hard | D. Augenti | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
D. Dzumhur — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Olbia | Hard | A. Dougaz | 1 - 2 | 1.67 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-10-08 | Villena | Clay | A. Shelbayh | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-10-06 | Villena | Clay | G. Kravchenko | 2 - 0 | 1.47 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | M. Echargui | 2 - 0 | 1.65 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | K. Montsi | 0 - 2 | 1.40 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 1 - 3 | 8.51 | 89% | LOST |
| 2026-08-06 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Hard | M. Erhard | 0 - 2 | 1.22 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Hard | G. Blancaneaux | 2 - 0 | 1.32 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-07-21 | Estoril | Clay | H. Gaston | 0 - 0 RET | 1.98 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-07-18 | Umag | clay | D. Merida Aguilar | 2 - 1 | 2.97 | 67% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Aziz Dougaz or Damir Dzumhur?
Damir Dzumhur is favourite at 1.67, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Aziz Dougaz vs Damir Dzumhur?
Aziz Dougaz is 2.29 and Damir Dzumhur is 1.67, the prices we recorded for the Olbia match.
Who will win Aziz Dougaz vs Damir Dzumhur?
Our model makes it Damir Dzumhur to win at 1.67 (Lean confidence).