ATPHard (Indoor)Paris2026-11-04 10:00
Quentin Halys v Frances Tiafoe
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTF. Tiafoe to win1.67
F. Tiafoe is 6-4 over the last ten and 28-15 on hard this season. Q. Halys is 4-6 over the last ten and 26-19 on hard this season.
The pick is F. Tiafoe to win. We make it a 60% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.68 or bigger. At 1.67 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| Q. Halys | F. Tiafoe | |
|---|---|---|
| 48 | Ranking | 8 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WLLWW | Last 5 | LLWLW |
| -0.0 | V the odds | +0.5 |
| 39-30 | Season | 44-21 |
| 26-19 | Hard 2026 | 28-15 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 2d | Days rest | 8d |
| 1 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
Q. Halys1
F. Tiafoe0
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | Paris | Q. HalysvF. Tiafoe | 6-3 1-6 7-6 |
This season & this event
Q. Halys
F. Tiafoe
40-30
27-19
Did not play
Lost R64 to F. Cerundolo
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
44-22
28-16
Did not play
Lost R64 to G. Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Quentin Halys
France
Frances Tiafoe
USA
48
30
France
36–28
1
21–16
13–7
2–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
8
28
USA
44–19
1
28–13
7–4
9–2
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
Q. Halys — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | F. Tiafoe | 2.31 | 58% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 1-6 7-6 HalysTiafoePoints won52%48%Serve points won64%60%Return points won40%36%Games held10 of 1411 of 14Break points saved6 of 100 of 3Aces177Double faults14 | |||||||
| 2026-11-02 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | A. Fery | 1.63 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 7-5 HalysFeryPoints won51%49%Serve points won72%72%Return points won28%28%Games held12 of 1211 of 12Break points saved3 of 31 of 2Aces178Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-27 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | H. Rune | 1.94 | 50% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 7-6 6-7 HalysRunePoints won52%48%Serve points won73%68%Return points won32%27%Games held16 of 1717 of 17Break points saved2 of 35 of 5Aces3213Double faults53 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Zverev | 6.18 | 84% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 7-6 3-6 HalysZverevPoints won47%53%Serve points won69%74%Return points won26%31%Games held13 of 1516 of 16Break points saved7 of 90 of 0Aces1319Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Blockx | 2.03 | 52% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 7-6 6-4 HalysBlockxPoints won51%49%Serve points won76%75%Return points won25%24%Games held15 of 1615 of 16Break points saved2 of 30 of 1Aces1819Double faults44 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | C. Wong | 1.74 | 55% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-6 HalysWongPoints won54%46%Serve points won81%72%Return points won28%19%Games held11 of 1110 of 11Break points saved1 of 10 of 1Aces2013Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | A. De Minaur | 3.49 | 72% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 6-7 5-7 HalysMinaurPoints won50%50%Serve points won63%64%Return points won36%37%Games held14 of 1713 of 16Break points saved4 of 73 of 6Aces1210Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | I. Buse | 1.71 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 7-6 HalysBusePoints won57%43%Serve points won68%57%Return points won43%32%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved1 of 23 of 6Aces93Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-09-26 | Hangzhou | Hard | R. Safiullin | 2.14 | 55% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-5 3-6 4-6 HalysSafiullinPoints won51%49%Serve points won75%68%Return points won32%25%Games held13 of 1515 of 16Break points saved3 of 52 of 3Aces147Double faults14 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | F. Auger-Aliassime | 3.85 | 76% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 6-4 3-6 HalysAuger-AliassimePoints won49%51%Serve points won72%75%Return points won25%28%Games held14 of 1515 of 16Break points saved4 of 50 of 1Aces1912Double faults61 | |||||||
F. Tiafoe — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | Q. Halys | 1.68 | 58% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-1 6-7 TiafoeHalysPoints won48%52%Serve points won60%64%Return points won36%40%Games held11 of 1410 of 14Break points saved0 of 36 of 10Aces717Double faults41 | |||||||
| 2026-10-27 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | L. Musetti | 1.74 | 56% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 5-7 TiafoeMusettiPoints won45%55%Serve points won63%77%Return points won23%37%Games held11 of 1212 of 12Break points saved5 of 60 of 0Aces45Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | 1.94 | 50% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 6-4 6-7 TiafoeFokinaPoints won50%50%Serve points won70%71%Return points won29%30%Games held17 of 1716 of 17Break points saved1 of 16 of 7Aces138Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | Y. Hanfmann | 1.38 | 70% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 TiafoeHanfmannPoints won53%47%Serve points won69%66%Return points won34%31%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved2 of 30 of 3Aces58Double faults02 | |||||||
| 2026-10-02 | Tokyo | Hard | A. Fils | 3.42 | 72% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 5-7 TiafoeFilsPoints won45%55%Serve points won64%74%Return points won26%36%Games held8 of 1011 of 11Break points saved3 of 52 of 2Aces410Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | K. Nishikori | 1.18 | 82% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 TiafoeNishikoriPoints won53%47%Serve points won70%65%Return points won35%30%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved0 of 14 of 7Aces26Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-09-11 | US Open | Hard | B. Shelton | 3.44 | 72% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 3-6 3-6 5-7 TiafoeSheltonPoints won46%54%Serve points won61%71%Return points won29%39%Games held15 of 2018 of 20Break points saved6 of 115 of 7Aces320Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-09-08 | US Open | Hard | A. Michelsen | 1.67 | 59% | WON | |
Games in each set5-7 3-6 7-5 6-3 7-6 TiafoeMichelsenPoints won50%50%Serve points won60%62%Return points won38%40%Games held19 of 2719 of 27Break points saved15 of 239 of 17Aces1021Double faults49 | |||||||
| 2026-09-06 | US Open | Hard | D. Medvedev | 2.51 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-4 7-6 TiafoeMedvedevPoints won51%49%Serve points won63%61%Return points won39%37%Games held13 of 1712 of 17Break points saved5 of 94 of 9Aces414Double faults05 | |||||||
| 2026-09-04 | US Open | Hard | V. Vacherot | 1.53 | 64% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 6-4 TiafoeVacherotPoints won58%42%Serve points won78%59%Return points won41%22%Games held14 of 1410 of 14Break points saved3 of 34 of 8Aces612Double faults27 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Quentin Halys or Frances Tiafoe?
Frances Tiafoe is favourite at 1.68, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe?
Quentin Halys is 2.31 and Frances Tiafoe is 1.68, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.
What is the head-to-head between Quentin Halys and Frances Tiafoe?
They have met 1 time and Quentin Halys leads 1-0.
Who will win Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe?
Our model makes it Frances Tiafoe to win at 1.67 (Lean confidence).