ATPHard (Indoor)Paris2026-11-04 10:00
Mattia Bellucci v Arthur Rinderknech
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongLOSTM. Bellucci to win1.70
M. Bellucci is 9-1 over the last ten and 31-19 on hard this season. A. Rinderknech is 4-6 over the last ten and 9-13 on hard this season. The head to head is M. Bellucci 0-1.
The pick is M. Bellucci to win. We make it a 64% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.56 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Bellucci | A. Rinderknech | |
|---|---|---|
| 86 | Ranking | 33 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| WWWLW | Last 5 | WLLLL |
| +2.6 | V the odds | -0.9 |
| 44-29 | Season | 19-24 |
| 31-19 | Hard 2026 | 9-13 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 3 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
M. BellucciFAV1.7356%
A. Rinderknech2.2244%
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
M. Bellucci0
A. Rinderknech2
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | Paris | M. BelluccivA. Rinderknech | 4-6 1-6 |
| 2024-07-27 | Atlanta | A. RinderknechvM. Bellucci | 7-6 3-6 6-1 |
This season & this event
M. Bellucci
A. Rinderknech
44-30
31-20
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
20-24
10-13
Lost R32 to V. Vacherot
Lost R16 to G. Dimitrov
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Mattia Bellucci
Italy
Arthur Rinderknech
France
86
25
Italy
39–28
1
27–17
7–7
5–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
33
31
France
18–23
0
7–10
7–8
2–3
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Bellucci — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | A. Rinderknech | 1.73 | 56% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 1-6 BellucciRinderknechPoints won38%62%Serve points won55%77%Return points won23%45%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved0 of 30 of 0Aces27Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-11-02 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | L. Sonego | 1.68 | 58% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-3 BellucciSonegoPoints won57%43%Serve points won72%55%Return points won45%28%Games held8 of 96 of 10Break points saved4 of 54 of 8Aces36Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-11-01 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | T. A. Tirante | 1.49 | 65% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 BellucciTirantePoints won54%46%Serve points won75%67%Return points won33%25%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved4 of 40 of 2Aces913Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-10-31 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | P. Carreno-Busta | 1.54 | 62% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 7-6 BellucciCarreno-BustaPoints won56%44%Serve points won72%57%Return points won43%28%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved1 of 27 of 10Aces111Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-10-22 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | T. Atmane | 1.90 | 51% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-6 6-7 6-7 BellucciAtmanePoints won51%49%Serve points won73%69%Return points won31%27%Games held16 of 1816 of 18Break points saved0 of 21 of 3Aces107Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | T. M. Etcheverry | 1.82 | 53% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 2-6 6-4 BellucciEtcheverryPoints won47%53%Serve points won67%74%Return points won26%33%Games held13 of 1514 of 15Break points saved7 of 95 of 6Aces1510Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | Jinan | Hard | M. Landaluce | 1.63 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 4-6 6-3 BellucciLandalucePoints won55%45%Serve points won71%62%Return points won38%29%Games held13 of 1410 of 13Break points saved5 of 61 of 4Aces81Double faults41 | |||||||
| 2026-10-17 | Jinan | Hard | S. Mochizuki | 1.33 | 73% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 7-6 BellucciMochizukiPoints won58%42%Serve points won76%56%Return points won44%24%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved4 of 46 of 8Aces122Double faults17 | |||||||
| 2026-10-16 | Jinan | Hard | A. Shevchenko | 1.49 | 65% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 BellucciShevchenkoPoints won56%44%Serve points won76%65%Return points won35%24%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved2 of 22 of 4Aces121Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-15 | Jinan | Hard | L. Pavlovic | 1.24 | 78% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 BellucciPavlovicPoints won54%46%Serve points won62%55%Return points won45%38%Games held8 of 106 of 10Break points saved5 of 77 of 11Aces37Double faults45 | |||||||
A. Rinderknech — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | M. Bellucci | 2.22 | 56% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-1 RinderknechBellucciPoints won62%38%Serve points won77%55%Return points won45%23%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved0 of 00 of 3Aces72Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-11-02 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | F. Cerundolo | RET | 2.45 | 60% | WON |
Games in each set3-6 7-6 2-0 RinderknechCerundoloPoints won51%49%Serve points won68%66%Return points won34%32%Games held9 of 1110 of 12Break points saved3 of 52 of 4Aces75Double faults14 | |||||||
| 2026-10-27 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | J. Kym | 2.04 | 52% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 4-6 RinderknechKymPoints won47%53%Serve points won68%74%Return points won26%32%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved3 of 45 of 5Aces910Double faults34 | |||||||
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | Hard | A. Molcan | 0 - 0 | 1.61 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | F. Auger-Aliassime | 3.14 | 70% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 6-7 4-6 RinderknechAuger-AliassimePoints won48%52%Serve points won70%77%Return points won23%30%Games held15 of 1615 of 16Break points saved3 of 41 of 2Aces717Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | L. Draxl | 1.24 | 75% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 5-7 RinderknechDraxlPoints won47%53%Serve points won62%68%Return points won32%38%Games held7 of 1010 of 10Break points saved7 of 103 of 3Aces139Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-09-04 | US Open | Hard | D. Medvedev | 3.54 | 72% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 4-6 4-6 RinderknechMedvedevPoints won44%56%Serve points won63%75%Return points won25%37%Games held11 of 1514 of 15Break points saved1 of 51 of 2Aces910Double faults16 | |||||||
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | J. Munar | 1.63 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-2 7-5 RinderknechMunarPoints won54%46%Serve points won63%57%Return points won43%37%Games held13 of 1610 of 16Break points saved5 of 83 of 9Aces223Double faults65 | |||||||
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | S. Shimabukuro | 1.29 | 75% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-2 7-6 6-2 RinderknechShimabukuroPoints won56%44%Serve points won76%61%Return points won39%24%Games held19 of 2015 of 20Break points saved1 of 27 of 12Aces1511Double faults39 | |||||||
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | J. M. Cerundolo | 1.56 | 62% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 6-7 6-7 RinderknechCerundoloPoints won50%50%Serve points won68%67%Return points won33%32%Games held15 of 1714 of 17Break points saved4 of 611 of 14Aces914Double faults56 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Mattia Bellucci or Arthur Rinderknech?
Mattia Bellucci is favourite at 1.73, which is a 56% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Mattia Bellucci vs Arthur Rinderknech?
Mattia Bellucci is 1.73 and Arthur Rinderknech is 2.22, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.
What is the head-to-head between Mattia Bellucci and Arthur Rinderknech?
They have met 2 times and Arthur Rinderknech leads 2-0.
Who will win Mattia Bellucci vs Arthur Rinderknech?
Our model makes it Mattia Bellucci to win at 1.70 (Strong confidence).