Pavel Kotov v Tallon Griekspoor
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongWONP. Kotov is 7-3 over the last ten and 30-9 on hard this season. T. Griekspoor is 4-6 over the last ten and 12-14 on hard this season. The head to head is P. Kotov 2-2.
The pick is P. Kotov to win. We make it a 41% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.45 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| P. Kotov | T. Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| 182 | Ranking | 55 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| WWLWL | Last 5 | LLWLL |
| +0.5 | V the odds | -0.8 |
| 31-13 | Season | 16-23 |
| 30-9 | Hard 2026 | 12-14 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 2d | Days rest | 8d |
| 2 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Shanghai | P. KotovvT. Griekspoor | 2 - 0 |
| 2024-10-14 | ATP Stockholm | T. GriekspoorvP. Kotov | 2 - 0 |
| 2023-10-20 | ATP Stockholm | T. GriekspoorvP. Kotov | 0 - 2 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | T. GriekspoorvP. Kotov | 3 - 0 |
| 2022-04-06 | Marrakech | P. KotovvT. Griekspoor | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
P. Kotov — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Shanghai | Hard | T. Griekspoor | 2 - 0 | 2.86 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | 1.64 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | M. Damm | 1 - 2 | 2.95 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | S. Mochizuki | 2 - 0 | 1.61 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | Chengdu | Hard | L. Castelnuovo | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | M. Sharipov | 0 - 2 | 1.93 | 50% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | 1.77 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | R. Noguchi | 2 - 0 | 1.39 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | A. Santillan | 2 - 0 | 1.23 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-09-15 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | S. Mochizuki | 0 - 2 | 2.00 | 52% | WON |
T. Griekspoor — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Shanghai | Hard | P. Kotov | 2 - 0 | 1.47 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | A. Rublev | 1 - 2 | 2.53 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | 2.24 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | N. Mejia | 2 - 0 | 1.17 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | B. Shelton | 3 - 1 | 6.58 | 85% | LOST |
| 2026-08-09 | Montreal | Hard | D. Merida Aguilar | 0 - 2 | 1.80 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-08-07 | Montreal | Hard | M. Arnaldi | 2 - 1 | 1.48 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-08-05 | Montreal | Hard | A. Zverev | 1 - 2 | 5.90 | 84% | WON |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | L. Sonego | 0 - 2 | 1.78 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-07-27 | Washington | Hard | A. Tabilo | 2 - 1 | 1.62 | 60% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Pavel Kotov or Tallon Griekspoor?
Tallon Griekspoor is favourite at 1.47, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Pavel Kotov vs Tallon Griekspoor?
Pavel Kotov is 2.86 and Tallon Griekspoor is 1.47, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Pavel Kotov and Tallon Griekspoor?
They have met 5 times and Pavel Kotov leads 3-2.
Who will win Pavel Kotov vs Tallon Griekspoor?
Our model makes it Pavel Kotov to win at 2.86 (Strong confidence).