THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 09 OCTOBERMATCHES 136EVENTS 35ALERTS 106
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-08 04:00

Cameron Norrie v Dalibor Svrcina

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
C. Norrie to win1.54
Price too short today - wait for 1.60 or bigger · our chance 63% · market 63/37, us 63/37

C. Norrie is 5-5 over the last ten and 18-14 on hard this season. D. Svrcina is 7-3 over the last ten and 16-15 on hard this season.

The pick is C. Norrie to win. We make it a 63% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.60 or bigger. At 1.54 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

C. NorrieD. Svrcina
39Ranking126
5-5Last 107-3
LLLWLLast 5WWLLW
-0.1V the odds-0.2
23-23Season32-25
18-14Hard 202616-15
0Last 7 days2
8dDays rest2d
0Wins here2
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

C. NorrieFAV1.5762%
D. Svrcina2.5238%
Market says62% Norrie

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

C. Norrie0
D. Svrcina1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-08ShanghaiC. NorrievD. Svrcina1 - 2

This season & this event

C. Norrie
D. Svrcina
23-24
18-15
Lost R32 to L. Tien
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
33-25
17-15
Lost R64 to D. Medvedev
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Cameron Norrie
United Kingdom
Dalibor Svrcina
Czech Republic
39
31
United Kingdom
21–19
0
15–11
5–6
0–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
126
24
Czech Republic
30–25
0
14–14
15–10
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

C. Norrie — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-08ShanghaiHardD. Svrcina1 - 21.5762%LOST
2026-09-30BeijingHardA. Zverev2 - 07.1386%LOST
2026-08-30US OpenHardL. van Assche3 - 11.4766%LOST
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardA. Zverev2 - 14.0676%LOST
2026-08-13CincinnatiHardD. Prizmic2 - 11.4965%WON
2026-08-09MontrealHardA. Fils2 - 03.0268%LOST
2026-08-06MontrealHardA. De Minaur2 - 12.7464%WON
2026-08-05MontrealHardI. Buse0 - 21.4169%WON
2026-08-04MontrealHardC. Ugo Carabelli0 - 21.2479%WON
2026-08-01Los CabosHardD. Shapovalov1 - 21.6659%LOST

D. Svrcina — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-08ShanghaiHardC. Norrie1 - 22.5262%WON
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardY. Nishioka0 - 0 RET1.6060%WON
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardB. Harris1 - 21.3770%WON
2026-09-30JingshanHardM. Sharipov2 - 11.9250%LOST
2026-09-24HangzhouHardR. Hijikata2 - 01.6958%LOST
2026-09-23HangzhouHardR. Noguchi2 - 01.2179%WON
2026-09-22HangzhouHardP. Sekulic2 - 0——WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardL. Darderi3 - 12.2657%LOST
2026-08-31US OpenHardV. Royer3 - 22.0352%WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardM. McDonald2 - 11.7256%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Cameron Norrie or Dalibor Svrcina?

Cameron Norrie is favourite at 1.57, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Cameron Norrie vs Dalibor Svrcina?

Cameron Norrie is 1.57 and Dalibor Svrcina is 2.52, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Cameron Norrie and Dalibor Svrcina?

They have met 1 time and Dalibor Svrcina leads 1-0.

Who will win Cameron Norrie vs Dalibor Svrcina?

Our model makes it Cameron Norrie to win at 1.54 (Lean confidence).

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