THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 05 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 13ALERTS 78
ChallengerClayVillena2026-10-04 15:30

Patrick Brady v Mili Poljicak

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
P. Brady to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.34 or bigger · our chance 75% · market 47/53, us 50/50

P. Brady is 7-3 over the last ten and 0-1 on clay this season. M. Poljicak is 4-6 over the last ten and 25-16 on clay this season.

The pick is P. Brady to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 75% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.34 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

P. BradyM. Poljicak
897Ranking290
7-3Last 104-6
LWLWWLast 5LWLLL
-V the odds-0.2
19-13Season37-21
0-1Clay 202625-16
0Last 7 days2
20dDays rest4d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

P. Brady2.0347%
M. PoljicakFAV1.8153%
Market says53% Poljicak

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

P. Brady0
M. Poljicak1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-04VillenaP. BradyvM. Poljicak1 - 2

This season & this event

P. Brady
M. Poljicak
19-14
0-2
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
38-22
26-17
Did not play
Lost R32 to K. Majchrzak

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Patrick Brady
United Kingdom
Mili Poljicak
Croatia
897
21
United Kingdom
4–3
0
4–3
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
290
22
Croatia
36–20
2
5–3
31–17
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

P. Brady — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04VillenaClayM. Poljicak1 - 22.0353%LOST
2026-09-14RennesHard (Indoor)M. Schoenhaus2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-13RennesHard (Indoor)T. Sahtali2 - 0——WON
2026-08-26Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - QualificationHardC. Broom0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-25Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - QualificationHardP. Zahraj0 - 2——WON
2026-08-24Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - QualificationHardA. Petrovic2 - 0——WON
2026-08-23Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - QualificationHardA. Ayeni0 - 2——WON
2026-08-19Roehampton (United Kingdom)HardL. Maxted2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-18Roehampton (United Kingdom)HardA. Deckers0 - 2——WON
2026-08-17Roehampton (United Kingdom)HardA. Ayeni0 - 2——WON

M. Poljicak — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05VillenaClayM. H. Rehberg2 - 12.5462%LOST
2026-10-04VillenaClayP. Brady1 - 21.8153%WON
2026-09-30PortoClayH. Rocha0 - 23.6475%LOST
2026-09-28PortoClayM. Basing0 - 2——WON
2026-09-07GenovaClayS. Sakellaridis0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-31ComoClayM. Dodig2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-24AugsburgClayM. Schoenhaus0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-20M25 Slovenj Gradec (Slovenia)ClayS. Dominko0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-18M25 Slovenj Gradec (Slovenia)ClayV. Urankar2 - 0——WON
2026-08-02San MarinoClayF. Diaz Acosta2 - 0——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Patrick Brady or Mili Poljicak?

Mili Poljicak is favourite at 1.81, which is a 53% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Patrick Brady vs Mili Poljicak?

Patrick Brady is 2.03 and Mili Poljicak is 1.81, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.

What is the head-to-head between Patrick Brady and Mili Poljicak?

They have met 1 time and Mili Poljicak leads 1-0.

Who will win Patrick Brady vs Mili Poljicak?

Our model makes it Patrick Brady to win a set (Lean confidence).

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