THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 05 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 13ALERTS 78
ChallengerClayVillena2026-10-04 12:30

Niels Visker v Marko Topo

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
M. Topo to win1.67
Price too short today - wait for 1.75 or bigger · our chance 57% · market 45/55, us 43/57

M. Topo is 7-3 over the last ten and 17-20 on clay this season. N. Visker is 5-5 over the last ten and 8-7 on clay this season.

The pick is M. Topo to win. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.75 or bigger. At 1.67 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

N. ViskerM. Topo
702Ranking345
5-5Last 107-3
LWWLLLast 5LWWWW
+0.2V the odds+0.3
30-20Season20-23
8-7Clay 202617-20
3Last 7 days2
5dDays rest6d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

N. Visker2.0745%
M. TopoFAV1.6655%
Market says55% Topo

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

N. Visker0
M. Topo1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-04VillenaN. ViskervM. Topo0 - 2

This season & this event

N. Visker
M. Topo
30-21
8-8
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
21-24
18-21
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Niels Visker
Netherlands
Marko Topo
Germany
702
25
Netherlands
2–1
0
2–1
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
345
23
Germany
14–22
0
3–2
11–20
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

N. Visker — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04VillenaClayM. Topo0 - 22.0755%LOST
2026-09-29Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)H. Mayot2 - 03.6574%LOST
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)N. McDonald2 - 0——WON
2026-09-27Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)T. Paris2 - 01.6755%WON
2026-09-06TullnClayD. Siniakov2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-03Porto 2ClayP. Vives Marcos1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-01Porto 2ClayG. A. Olivieri1 - 2——WON
2026-08-31Porto 2ClayS. Kielan2 - 0——WON
2026-08-30Porto 2ClayG. Valdoleiros2 - 0——WON
2026-07-26San MarinoClayM. Mazza2 - 0——LOST

M. Topo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05VillenaClayD. Stricker2 - 02.4262%LOST
2026-10-04VillenaClayN. Visker0 - 21.6655%WON
2026-09-28PortoClayP. Nesterov2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-27PortoClayM. Gonzalez Fernandez1 - 21.2673%WON
2026-09-20M25 ZlatiborClayK. Juhas2 - 0——WON
2026-09-19M25 ZlatiborClayA. Aubriot2 - 0——WON
2026-09-18M25 ZlatiborClayN. Belozertsev2 - 1——WON
2026-09-18M25 ZlatiborClayS. Popovic2 - 0——WON
2026-09-17M25 ZlatiborClayC. Warik2 - 1——WON
2026-09-09TullnClayV. Sachko0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Niels Visker or Marko Topo?

Marko Topo is favourite at 1.66, which is a 55% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Niels Visker vs Marko Topo?

Niels Visker is 2.07 and Marko Topo is 1.66, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.

What is the head-to-head between Niels Visker and Marko Topo?

They have met 1 time and Marko Topo leads 1-0.

Who will win Niels Visker vs Marko Topo?

Our model makes it Marko Topo to win at 1.67 (Lean confidence).

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