THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 05 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 13ALERTS 78
ChallengerClayVillena2026-10-04 11:00

Diego Dedura v Vadym Ursu

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
D. Dedura to win 2-0
Worth backing at 2.00 or bigger · our chance 50% · market 75/25, us 79/21

D. Dedura is 5-5 over the last ten and 36-17 on clay this season. V. Ursu is 2-8 over the last ten and 1-2 on clay this season.

The pick is D. Dedura to win 2-0. We make it a 50% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.00 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

D. DeduraV. Ursu
188Ranking-
5-5Last 102-8
LLWWLLast 5LLLWL
-V the odds-0.6
44-26Season25-23
36-17Clay 20261-2
0Last 7 days1
13dDays rest7d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

D. DeduraFAV1.2375%
V. Ursu3.7425%
Market says75% Dedura

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

D. Dedura1
V. Ursu0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-04VillenaD. DeduravV. Ursu2 - 1

This season & this event

D. Dedura
V. Ursu
45-27
37-18
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
25-24
1-3
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Diego Dedura
Germany
Vadym Ursu
Ukraine
188
18
Germany
45–24
2
5–5
40–17
0–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
431
29
Ukraine
52–29
4
52–28
0–1
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Dedura — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05VillenaClayO. Tarvet0 - 23.4173%LOST
2026-10-04VillenaClayV. Ursu2 - 11.2375%WON
2026-09-21Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayO. Roca Batalla0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-18SzczecinClayT. Monteiro0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-16SzczecinClayK. Feldbausch2 - 1——WON
2026-09-15SzczecinClayD. Lajovic0 - 0 RET——WON
2026-09-10TullnClayG. Heide0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-08TullnClayL. Pokorny1 - 2——WON
2026-09-07TullnClayH. Bernet2 - 1——WON
2026-09-06TullnClayT. Rosenkranz-Konig2 - 0——WON

V. Ursu — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04VillenaClayD. Dedura2 - 13.7475%LOST
2026-09-27PortoClayJ. Domingues2 - 01.5859%LOST
2026-09-22St. TropezHardB. Gojo0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-21St. TropezHardH. Grenier2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-20St. TropezHardG. A. Boitan1 - 2——WON
2026-09-09IstanbulClayD. Kuzmanov0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-07IstanbulClayA. Holmgren0 - 2——WON
2026-08-26M15 Hurghada 6 (Egypt)HardD. Javia1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-11AstanaHardM. Dhamne0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-04Istanbul 2 (Turkey)HardT. Pereira1 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Diego Dedura or Vadym Ursu?

Diego Dedura is favourite at 1.23, which is a 75% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Diego Dedura vs Vadym Ursu?

Diego Dedura is 1.23 and Vadym Ursu is 3.74, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.

What is the head-to-head between Diego Dedura and Vadym Ursu?

They have met 1 time and Diego Dedura leads 1-0.

Who will win Diego Dedura vs Vadym Ursu?

Our model makes it Diego Dedura to win 2-0 (Solid confidence).

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