THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 05 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 13ALERTS 78
ChallengerClayVillena2026-10-04 12:30

Dominic Stricker v Diaz Enrique Carrascosa

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
D. Stricker to win1.00
Price too short today - wait for 1.06 or bigger · our chance 95% · market 95/5, us 95/5

D. Stricker is 6-4 over the last ten and 19-10 on clay this season. E. Carrascosa Diaz is 4-6 over the last ten and 5-9 on clay this season.

The pick is D. Stricker to win. We make it a 95% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.06 or bigger. At 1.00 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

D. StrickerE. Carrascosa Diaz
-Ranking-
6-4Last 104-6
LWLLWLast 5LLWWL
-0.3V the odds-0.1
37-15Season9-12
19-10Clay 20265-9
2Last 7 days0
3dDays rest11d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

D. StrickerFAV1.0295%
E. Carrascosa Diaz18.955%
Market says95% Stricker

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

D. Stricker1
E. Carrascosa Diaz0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-04VillenaD. StrickervE. Carrascosa Diaz2 - 0

This season & this event

D. Stricker
E. Carrascosa Diaz
39-15
21-10
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
9-13
5-10
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Dominic Stricker
Switzerland
Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
Spain
243
24
Switzerland
17–19
0
4–8
11–9
2–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
—
56
Spain
—
—
—
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Stricker — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05VillenaClayM. Topo2 - 01.5062%WON
2026-10-04VillenaClayE. Carrascosa Diaz2 - 01.0295%WON
2026-10-01Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)H. Bernet2 - 01.5860%LOST
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)L. Broady1 - 21.4267%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryJ. Fonseca2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-25AugsburgClayM. Krumich0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-22Sion (Switzerland)ClayB. Hassan1 - 2——WON
2026-08-21Sion (Switzerland)ClayT. Compagnucci2 - 0——WON
2026-08-20Sion (Switzerland)ClayM. Brunold2 - 0——WON
2026-08-19Sion (Switzerland)ClayL. Ratti2 - 0——WON

E. Carrascosa Diaz — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04VillenaClayD. Stricker2 - 018.9595%LOST
2026-09-23M25 Sabadell 2ClayL. Giustino2 - 07.0087%LOST
2026-09-04M15 MadridClay (Indoor)A. Manzanera Pertusa2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-03M15 MadridClay (Indoor)C. Hernandez1 - 0 RET——WON
2026-09-01M15 MadridClay (Indoor)L. Cervantes Tomas2 - 0——WON
2026-08-26M25 OviedoClayI. Gakhov2 - 1——LOST
2026-07-15M25 GandiaClayJ. Barranco Cosano0 - 1 RET——LOST
2026-07-02M15 GetxoClayM. Zielinski2 - 1——LOST
2026-07-01M15 GetxoClayJ. Mendieta2 - 0——WON
2026-06-24M25 BakioHardR. Bertrand0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Dominic Stricker or Diaz Enrique Carrascosa?

Dominic Stricker is favourite at 1.02, which is a 95% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Dominic Stricker vs Diaz Enrique Carrascosa?

Dominic Stricker is 1.02 and Diaz Enrique Carrascosa is 18.95, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.

What is the head-to-head between Dominic Stricker and Diaz Enrique Carrascosa?

They have met 1 time and Dominic Stricker leads 1-0.

Who will win Dominic Stricker vs Diaz Enrique Carrascosa?

Our model makes it Dominic Stricker to win at 1.00 (Lean confidence).

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