Charles Chen v Petr Nesterov
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONC. Chen is 0-10 over the last ten and 0-1 on clay this season. P. Nesterov is 5-5 over the last ten and 31-15 on clay this season.
The pick is C. Chen to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 40% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.49 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| C. Chen | P. Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | 428 |
| 0-10 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LLLLL | Last 5 | LWWLL |
| -0.3 | V the odds | -0.7 |
| 2-12 | Season | 50-22 |
| 0-1 | Clay 2026 | 31-15 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 11d | Days rest | 5d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Villena | C. ChenvP. Nesterov | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players


Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
C. Chen — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Villena | Clay | P. Nesterov | 1 - 2 | 8.68 | 89% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | M15 Monastir 32 | Hard | A. Colombo | 1 - 2 | 3.50 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-16 | M15 Monastir 31 | Hard | D. Salvestre | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-06-30 | M15 Getxo | Clay | S. Fita Juan | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-06-10 | M15 Kayseri 4 | Hard | F. J. Rivadeneira Gallegos | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-06-04 | M15 Kayseri 3 | Hard | I. Marrero Curbelo | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-05-20 | M15 Hurghada 5 (Egypt) | Hard | R. E. Mohamed Sherif E. | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-05-13 | M25 Hurghada (Egypt) | Hard | B. Atlangeriev | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-05-06 | M15 Hurghada 4 (Egypt) | Hard | P. Alam | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-04-14 | M15 Ceuta | Hard | A. Reco | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
P. Nesterov — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Villena | Clay | H. Barton | 1 - 2 | 2.38 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Villena | Clay | C. Chen | 1 - 2 | 1.07 | 89% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | Clay | G. Marques | 2 - 1 | 1.46 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | M. Topo | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | G. Tabacco | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | C. Taberner | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | Y. Milev | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-12 | M25 Muttenz | Clay | D. Sakellaridis | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-09 | Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria) | Clay | G. Piraino | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-08 | Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria) | Clay | R. M. Papoe | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Charles Chen or Petr Nesterov?
Petr Nesterov is favourite at 1.07, which is a 89% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Charles Chen vs Petr Nesterov?
Charles Chen is 8.68 and Petr Nesterov is 1.07, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.
What is the head-to-head between Charles Chen and Petr Nesterov?
They have met 1 time and Petr Nesterov leads 1-0.
Who will win Charles Chen vs Petr Nesterov?
Our model makes it Charles Chen to win a set (Lean confidence).