THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 04 NOVEMBERMATCHES 391EVENTS 39LIVE 35ALERTS 56
ATPHard (Indoor)Paris2026-11-04 10:00

Nuno Borges v Karen Khachanov

Match preview, prediction and odds

FinishedServing: —
PlayerSet 1Set 2PtsPreLive
N. Borges
662.71▼1.01
K. Khachanov
341.52▲26.00
Momentum
4/6
2/6

Not enough games yet to read the run of play. Live prices refresh every 20 seconds.

Our pick

Solid
K. Khachanov to win1.52
Worth backing at 1.46 or bigger · our chance 69% · market 36/64, us 31/69

K. Khachanov is 6-4 over the last ten and 21-16 on hard this season. N. Borges is 6-4 over the last ten and 21-17 on hard this season. N. Borges has played 5 matches in seven days. The head to head is N. Borges 0-2.

The pick is K. Khachanov to win. We make it a 69% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.46 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

N. BorgesK. Khachanov
53Ranking25
6-4Last 106-4
WLWLWLast 5WLLWW
+0.0V the odds+0.1
33-30Season30-25
21-17Hard 202621-16
5Last 7 days1
1dDays rest2d
2Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
0-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

N. Borges2.7136%
K. KhachanovFAV1.5264%
Market says64% Khachanov

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

N. Borges0
K. Khachanov2
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2025-07-04WimbledonN. BorgesvK. Khachanov6-7 6-4 6-4 3-6 6-7
2022-05-22French OpenN. BorgesvK. Khachanov3-6 6-2 4-6 4-6

This season & this event

N. Borges
K. Khachanov
33-30
21-17
Lost R64 to L. Tien
Lost R64 to A. Tabilo
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
30-25
21-16
Lost R16 to A. De Minaur
Lost SF to U. Humbert

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Nuno Borges
Portugal
Karen Khachanov
World
53
29
Portugal
32–30
0
17–15
9–9
5–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
25
30
World
25–21
0
16–13
7–6
2–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

N. Borges — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-11-03ParisHard (Indoor)M. Kouame——WON
2026-11-01ParisHard (Indoor)A. Molcan1.6558%LOST
2026-10-31ParisHard (Indoor)A. Mannarino1.6359%WON
2026-10-30BaselHard (Indoor)J-L. Struff2.1054%LOST
2026-10-28BaselHard (Indoor)C. Ruud2.6864%WON
2026-10-26BaselHard (Indoor)M. Brunold1.4567%WON
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardJ. Lehecka3.3071%LOST
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardF. Diaz Acosta1.3075%WON
2026-09-30BeijingHardN. Djokovic2.9568%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryD. Duran1.0195%WON

K. Khachanov — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-11-02ParisHard (Indoor)D. Shapovalov RET1.6160%WON
2026-10-27ViennaHard (Indoor)C. Alcaraz4.6979%LOST
2026-10-23AlmatyHard (Indoor)A. Bublik2.0553%LOST
2026-10-22AlmatyHard (Indoor)T. Machac1.3870%WON
2026-10-20AlmatyHard (Indoor)R. Sakamoto1.3970%WON
2026-10-14ShanghaiHardA. De Minaur2.1354%LOST
2026-10-12ShanghaiHardA. Mannarino1.3075%WON
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardA. Fery1.4467%WON
2026-10-04BeijingHardH. Hurkacz1.6858%LOST
2026-10-02BeijingHardA. Molcan1.2377%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Nuno Borges or Karen Khachanov?

Karen Khachanov is favourite at 1.52, which is a 64% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Nuno Borges vs Karen Khachanov?

Nuno Borges is 2.71 and Karen Khachanov is 1.52, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.

What is the head-to-head between Nuno Borges and Karen Khachanov?

They have met 2 times and Karen Khachanov leads 2-0.

Who will win Nuno Borges vs Karen Khachanov?

Our model makes it Karen Khachanov to win at 1.52 (Solid confidence).

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