THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 28 OCTOBERMATCHES 386EVENTS 46LIVE 14ALERTS 6
ChallengerHardNingbo2026-10-29 03:00

Naoya Honda v Liam Broady

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean
N. Honda to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.73 or bigger · our chance 58% · market 24/76, us 29/71

N. Honda is 6-4 over the last ten and 29-25 on hard this season. L. Broady is 2-8 over the last ten and 26-22 on hard this season. N. Honda took a medical timeout on 2026-10-27. The head to head is N. Honda 0-1.

The pick is N. Honda to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 58% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.73 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

N. HondaL. Broady
656Ranking208
6-4Last 102-8
WWWLLLast 5WLWLL
+1.6V the odds-3.8
29-25Season31-27
29-25Hard 202626-22
3Last 7 days2
2dDays rest2d
3Wins here1
MTOFitnessClear
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

N. Honda3.9024%
L. BroadyFAV1.2076%
Market says76% Broady

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

N. Honda0
L. Broady1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-03-26YokkaichiN. HondavL. Broady1-6 1-6

This season & this event

N. Honda
L. Broady
29-25
29-25
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
31-27
26-22
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Naoya Honda
Japan
Liam Broady
United Kingdom
656
20
Japan
24–21
0
24–21
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
208
32
United Kingdom
29–24
1
23–17
4–4
2–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

N. Honda — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-27NingboHardF. Peliwo1.8053%WON
2026-10-26NingboHardK. Sultanov3.7275%WON
2026-10-25NingboHardR. Matsuda1.8950%WON
2026-10-18GuangzhouHardK. Samrej2.9968%LOST
2026-10-04Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardK. Tamm1.3469%LOST
2026-09-28JingshanHardM. Sharipov——LOST
2026-09-17Guangzhou 2HardP. Bar Biryukov2.7567%LOST
2026-09-15Guangzhou 2HardN. Basilashvili RET3.7875%WON
2026-09-14Guangzhou 2HardJ. Flores1.4964%WON
2026-09-13Guangzhou 2HardH. Duan1.0191%WON

L. Broady — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-27NingboHardS. Fomin1.3471%WON
2026-10-22GuangzhouHardA. Santillan1.4466%LOST
2026-10-20GuangzhouHardD. Palan1.2477%WON
2026-10-12RoanneHard (Indoor)S. Gueymard Wayenburg3.2370%LOST
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)D. Stricker2.9568%LOST
2026-08-24US OpenHardM. Cecchinato1.3272%LOST
2026-08-13Brownsburg (Usa) - QualificationHardD. Suresh1.8652%LOST
2026-08-04LexingtonHardO. Baris1.7056%LOST
2026-07-29VancouverHardJ. D. Hara Friend1.7156%LOST
2026-07-21WinnipegHardY. Shimizu1.3969%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Naoya Honda or Liam Broady?

Liam Broady is favourite at 1.20, which is a 76% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Naoya Honda vs Liam Broady?

Naoya Honda is 3.90 and Liam Broady is 1.20, the prices we recorded for the Ningbo match.

What is the head-to-head between Naoya Honda and Liam Broady?

They have met 1 time and Liam Broady leads 1-0.

Who will win Naoya Honda vs Liam Broady?

Our model makes it Naoya Honda to win a set (Lean confidence).

Also at this event