ChallengerHardNingbo2026-10-29 03:00

Yi Zhou v Jake Delaney

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

Y. Zhou to win1.17

Price too short today - wait for 1.25 or bigger · our chance 80% · market 79/21, us 80/20

Y. Zhou is 6-4 over the last ten and 19-18 on hard this season. Ja. Delaney is 6-4 over the last ten and 49-28 on hard this season.

The pick is Y. Zhou to win. We make it a 80% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.25 or bigger. At 1.17 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

Y. Zhou		Ja. Delaney
280	Ranking	357
6-4	Last 10	6-4
WLWWW	Last 5	WLWLL
+2.1	V the odds	-0.6
27-24	Season	53-30
19-18	Hard 2026	49-28
3	Last 7 days	1
2d	Days rest	2d
1	Wins here	1
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

Y. ZhouFAV1.1779%

Ja. Delaney4.3321%

Market says79% Zhou

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Y. ZhouWLWWW

Ja. DelaneyWLWLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

Y. Zhou

Ja. Delaney

27-24

19-18

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

53-30

49-28

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Yi Zhou

China

Jake Delaney

Australia

280

China

23–23

15–17

0–2

8–4

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

357

Australia

52–29

48–26

4–3

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

Y. Zhou — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	Ningbo	Hard	E. Ymer	1.43	67%	WON
Games in each set1-6 7-6 6-4 ZhouYmerPoints won49%51%Serve points won65%67%Return points won33%35%Games held11 of 1413 of 15Break points saved7 of 105 of 7Aces119Double faults42
2026-10-24	Guangzhou	Hard	C. Wong	2.72	64%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 3-6 ZhouWongPoints won43%57%Serve points won67%79%Return points won21%33%Games held9 of 1011 of 11Break points saved1 of 20 of 0Aces718Double faults22
2026-10-23	Guangzhou	Hard	A. Ilagan	1.58	61%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 ZhouIlaganPoints won56%44%Serve points won75%60%Return points won40%25%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved1 of 22 of 5Aces99Double faults47
2026-10-21	Guangzhou	Hard	Z. Zhang	1.77	54%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 ZhouZhangPoints won59%41%Serve points won85%64%Return points won36%15%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved0 of 05 of 7Aces79Double faults23
2026-10-20	Guangzhou	Hard	K. Matsuda	1.21	79%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-3 ZhouMatsudaPoints won64%36%Serve points won80%48%Return points won52%20%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved2 of 22 of 6Aces73Double faults23
2026-10-12	Shanghai	Hard	H. Hurkacz	6.76	86%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-3 3-6 ZhouHurkaczPoints won46%54%Serve points won64%74%Return points won26%36%Games held10 of 1312 of 13Break points saved6 of 93 of 4Aces318Double faults21
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	L. Musetti	4.67	79%	WON
Games in each set7-6 3-6 7-6 ZhouMusettiPoints won48%52%Serve points won69%76%Return points won24%31%Games held15 of 1617 of 17Break points saved4 of 52 of 2Aces145Double faults03
2026-10-07	Shanghai	Hard	M. Bellucci	3.93	75%	WON
Games in each set6-4 3-6 7-6 ZhouBellucciPoints won50%50%Serve points won66%68%Return points won32%34%Games held14 of 1614 of 15Break points saved9 of 115 of 6Aces126Double faults32
2026-09-28	Beijing	Hard	P. Carreno-Busta	—	—	LOST
Games in each set5-7 3-6 ZhouCarreno-BustaPoints won44%56%Serve points won56%66%Return points won34%44%Games held7 of 1010 of 11Break points saved3 of 64 of 5Aces63Double faults62
2026-09-23	Chengdu	Hard	J. M. Cerundolo	2.81	65%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 3-6 ZhouCerundoloPoints won45%55%Serve points won59%70%Return points won30%41%Games held7 of 109 of 9Break points saved3 of 63 of 3Aces57Double faults01

Ja. Delaney — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	Ningbo	Hard	A. Binda		1.82	53%	WON
Games in each set6-4 4-6 6-4 DelaneyBindaPoints won52%48%Serve points won75%68%Return points won32%25%Games held14 of 1513 of 15Break points saved4 of 55 of 7Aces1510Double faults02
2026-10-19	Guangzhou	Hard	C. Wong		11.17	91%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-7 DelaneyWongPoints won46%54%Serve points won61%73%Return points won27%39%Games held9 of 1110 of 11Break points saved4 of 60 of 1Aces1523Double faults41
2026-10-11	Jinan	Hard	A. Rai	RET	—	—	WON
Games in each set4-3 DelaneyRaiPoints won49%51%Serve points won68%68%Return points won32%32%Games held3 of 33 of 4Break points saved0 of 00 of 1Aces14Double faults00
2026-10-11	Jinan	Hard	M. Sharipov		5.13	81%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 2-6 DelaneySharipovPoints won40%60%Serve points won57%78%Return points won22%43%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved1 of 40 of 0Aces67Double faults01
2026-10-09	M25 Darwin 2	Hard	Z. Stevens		1.19	80%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6 DelaneyStevensPoints won48%52%Serve points won69%74%Return points won26%31%Games held10 of 1212 of 12Break points saved5 of 62 of 2
2026-10-08	M25 Darwin 2	Hard	W. Van Der Merwe		1.05	89%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-0 DelaneyMerwePoints won60%40%Serve points won74%53%Return points won47%26%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved1 of 12 of 6
2026-10-07	M25 Darwin 2	Hard	H. Satara		1.13	84%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-2 DelaneySataraPoints won59%41%Serve points won77%57%Return points won43%23%Games held9 of 94 of 8Break points saved3 of 31 of 5
2026-10-02	M25 Darwin	Hard	D. Pham		1.43	64%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-7 DelaneyPhamPoints won51%49%Serve points won83%76%Return points won24%17%Games held12 of 1412 of 12Break points saved0 of 01 of 1
2026-10-01	M25 Darwin	Hard	L. Vickery		1.05	86%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 DelaneyVickeryPoints won54%46%Serve points won70%61%Return points won39%30%Games held11 of 128 of 10Break points saved3 of 41 of 2
2026-09-30	M25 Darwin	Hard	S. Ryan Ziegann		1.19	79%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-5 DelaneyZiegannPoints won56%44%Serve points won70%60%Return points won40%30%Games held10 of 108 of 11Break points saved6 of 62 of 5

Common questions

Who is favourite, Yi Zhou or Jake Delaney?

Yi Zhou is favourite at 1.17, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Yi Zhou vs Jake Delaney?

Yi Zhou is 1.17 and Jake Delaney is 4.33, the prices we recorded for the Ningbo match.

Who will win Yi Zhou vs Jake Delaney?

Our model makes it Yi Zhou to win at 1.17 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event

Shimizu v Hsu Uchida v Mayot Biryukov v Sun Broom v Demin Schoolkate v Cui Honda v Broady