THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 12 OCTOBERMATCHES 194EVENTS 13LIVE 4ALERTS 63
ChallengerClay (Indoor)Maia2026-10-11 15:00

Michael Vrbensky v Olle Wallin

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanVOID
O. Wallin to win 2-01.72
Price too short today - wait for 2.00 or bigger · our chance 50% · market 26/74, us 21/79

O. Wallin is 6-4 over the last ten and 24-14 on clay this season. M. Vrbensky is 2-8 over the last ten and 3-12 on clay this season. O. Wallin has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is O. Wallin to win 2-0. We make it a 50% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.00 or bigger. At 1.72 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. VrbenskyO. Wallin
606Ranking402
2-8Last 106-4
LLLWLLast 5LWWWL
-1.9V the odds+1.0
5-16Season40-24
3-12Clay 202624-14
0Last 7 days4
27dDays rest3d
0Wins here0
27d outFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. Vrbensky3.6926%
O. WallinFAV1.2974%
Market says74% Wallin

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

M. Vrbensky
O. Wallin
7-16
5-12
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
40-25
24-15
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Michael Vrbensky
Czech Republic
Olle Wallin
Sweden
606
26
Czech Republic
3–8
0
2–3
1–5
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
402
24
Sweden
38–22
0
14–8
22–12
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Vrbensky — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)P. Schoen0 - 24.7780%WON
2026-10-11MaiaClay (Indoor)O. Wallin0 - 0 RET3.6974%WON
2026-09-14SzczecinClayK. Wehnelt0 - 22.8166%LOST
2026-08-16PragueClayO. Krutykh1 - 22.7366%LOST
2026-07-28San MarinoClayN. Basilashvili1 - 26.9586%LOST
2026-07-27San MarinoClayM. Janvier2 - 12.1756%WON
2026-07-20TampereClayP. Niklas-Salminen2 - 11.2278%LOST
2026-06-28BrasovClayM. Janvier1 - 21.9953%LOST
2026-06-15PoznanClayM. Karol0 - 22.7667%LOST
2026-05-31HeilbronnClayM. Moeller0 - 22.8366%LOST

O. Wallin — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11MaiaClay (Indoor)M. Vrbensky0 - 0 RET1.2974%LOST
2026-10-08BragaClayL. Neumayer0 - 23.0969%LOST
2026-10-06BragaClayM. Cecchinato0 - 23.0869%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayT. Cacao2 - 01.5163%WON
2026-10-04BragaClayP. Rodenas2 - 11.5663%WON
2026-09-29Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayM. Donald0 - 21.8053%LOST
2026-09-20ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryC. H. Tseng2 - 02.7765%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryY. H. Hsu1 - 21.9351%WON
2026-09-08TullnClayZ. Kolar2 - 01.8153%LOST
2026-09-07TullnClayN. Gombos0 - 22.8466%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Michael Vrbensky or Olle Wallin?

Olle Wallin is favourite at 1.29, which is a 74% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Michael Vrbensky vs Olle Wallin?

Michael Vrbensky is 3.69 and Olle Wallin is 1.29, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.

Who will win Michael Vrbensky vs Olle Wallin?

Our model makes it Olle Wallin to win 2-0 at 1.72 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event