ChallengerClay (Indoor)Challenger2026-10-14 → 2026-10-17
Maia 2026
32 players, 13 singles matches on our card, clay (indoor) court. Title chances, the field, who is in form and who is carrying something - with a preview of every match.
Title chances
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price | Market | Edge | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dodig | 28.6% | 3.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Piros 3 | 20.1% | 5.0 | — | — | — | — |
| L. Mikrut | 16.2% | 6.2 | — | — | — | — |
| F. Passaro | 12.2% | 8.2 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Trungelliti 1 | 9.1% | 11.0 | — | — | — | — |
| T. Boyer | 6.8% | 14.7 | — | — | — | — |
| A. Sanchez Quilez Q | 4.7% | 21.2 | — | — | — | — |
| L. Giustino | 2.3% | 44.2 | — | — | — | — |
From the published draw and our ratings, worked out exactly round by round rather than simulated. The fair price is ours, before any margin. No outright prices recorded for this event yet.
Conditions
Clay (Indoor) court · Portugal
Medium. Servers win 62% of points here (+1.0 points against the level average); 12% of sets reach a tiebreak; 9.7 games a set. Measured from 55 matches played here, not a surface label.
| Date | High | Low | Humidity | Wind km/h | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 | 23° | 14° | 84% | 12 | 0% |
Highs of 23-23°c.
Players to watch
In form
M. Dodig8-2 · +2.3
F. Passaro7-1 · +1.9
A. Sanchez Quilez6-4 · +1.9
N. Sanchez Izquierdo7-2 · +1.8
A. Moro Canas11-4 · +1.7
Wins above what the prices expected, last 35 days
Carrying something
T. Boyer
RET x1 in 90dMTO 14d
L. Giustino
RET x2 in 90d
P. Martin Tiffon
RET x1 in 90dMTO 14d
T. Torres
MTO 14d
P. Martinez
MTO 14d
E. Moller
MTO 14d
Retirements, walkovers, medical timeouts and long layoffs
Matches to come
| When | Match | Price | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 16:00 | M. TrungellitivF. Passaro | 1.82 | 2.09 |
| 10-16 17:30 | M. DodigvT. Boyer | 1.47 | 2.87 |
| 10-17 12:00 | Z. PirosvA. Sanchez Quilez | — | — |
Results so far
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 | A. Sanchez QuilezvL. Mikrut | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-16 | L. GiustinovZ. Piros | 1 - 2 | |
| 10-15 | F. PassarovN. Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-15 | M. DodigvL. Neumayer | 2 - 1 | |
| 10-15 | M. TrungellitivM. Karol | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-15 | T. BoyervV. Gaubas | 2 - 1 | |
| 10-14 | L. MikrutvS. Nagal | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-14 | L. GiustinovM. Vrbensky | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-14 | A. Sanchez QuilezvA. Nedic | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-14 | P. Martin TiffonvZ. Piros | 0 - 2 |