Duje Ajdukovic v Goncalo Marques
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWOND. Ajdukovic is 4-6 over the last ten and 17-18 on clay this season. G. Marques is 6-4 over the last ten and 3-4 on clay this season. G. Marques retired from a match in the last month.
The pick is D. Ajdukovic to win. We make it a 73% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.37 or bigger. At 1.31 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| D. Ajdukovic | G. Marques | |
|---|---|---|
| 348 | Ranking | 594 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| LWLLW | Last 5 | LLWWW |
| -0.2 | V the odds | +1.1 |
| 23-26 | Season | 27-21 |
| 17-18 | Clay 2026 | 3-4 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 4d | Days rest | 6d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | retired |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Maia | D. AjdukovicvG. Marques | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
D. Ajdukovic — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | A. Martin | 1 - 2 | 1.47 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-10-11 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | G. Marques | 2 - 0 | 1.32 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-10-07 | Braga | Clay | V. Gaubas | 2 - 1 | 2.92 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | F. C. Jianu | 2 - 0 | 1.55 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | I. Lopez Morillo | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-09 | Genova | Clay | S. Sakellaridis | 1 - 2 | 3.40 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | Genova | Clay | F. Romano | 2 - 0 | 1.83 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-04 | Como | Clay | J. Clarke | 1 - 2 | 2.38 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-03 | Como | Clay | J. C. Martin Manzano | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Como | Clay | R. Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | 2.75 | 66% | WON |
G. Marques — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | D. Ajdukovic | 2 - 0 | 3.47 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | N. Sanchez Izquierdo | 0 - 2 | 6.50 | 86% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Porto | Clay | D. Jorda Sanchis | 0 - 2 | 2.22 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | Clay | P. Nesterov | 2 - 1 | 2.88 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | C. Langmo | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | G. Kravchenko | 1 - 2 | 2.30 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | L. Maxted | 0 - 0 RET | 2.18 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-13 | M25 Sintra | Hard | P. Schoen | 2 - 0 | 3.13 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-09-12 | M25 Sintra | Hard | F. Tabacco | 2 - 1 | 1.83 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | M25 Sintra | Hard | F. Murgett | 2 - 0 | 1.53 | 60% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Duje Ajdukovic or Goncalo Marques?
Duje Ajdukovic is favourite at 1.32, which is a 72% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Duje Ajdukovic vs Goncalo Marques?
Duje Ajdukovic is 1.32 and Goncalo Marques is 3.47, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.
What is the head-to-head between Duje Ajdukovic and Goncalo Marques?
They have met 1 time and Duje Ajdukovic leads 1-0.
Who will win Duje Ajdukovic vs Goncalo Marques?
Our model makes it Duje Ajdukovic to win at 1.31 (Lean confidence).