THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 12 OCTOBERMATCHES 194EVENTS 13LIVE 4ALERTS 63
ChallengerClay (Indoor)Maia2026-10-11 13:30

Joao Domingues v Andres Martin

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
A. Martin to win1.81
Price too short today - wait for 1.88 or bigger · our chance 53% · market 47/53, us 47/53

A. Martin is 5-5 over the last ten and 26-21 on clay this season. J. Domingues is 3-7 over the last ten and 5-7 on clay this season. The head to head is J. Domingues 1-0.

The pick is A. Martin to win. We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.88 or bigger. At 1.81 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. DominguesA. Martin
781Ranking269
3-7Last 105-5
LLWLWLast 5LWLLL
-1.5V the odds+0.1
27-22Season52-46
5-7Clay 202626-21
1Last 7 days2
6dDays rest4d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. Domingues2.0447%
A. MartinFAV1.8153%
Market says53% Martin

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

J. Domingues1
A. Martin1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-11MaiaJ. DominguesvA. Martin0 - 2
2022-06-13ParmaA. MartinvJ. Domingues0 - 2

This season & this event

J. Domingues
A. Martin
27-23
5-8
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
54-46
28-21
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Joao Domingues
Portugal
Andres Martin
USA
781
33
Portugal
15–11
0
11–9
4–2
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
269
25
USA
0–1
0
0–1
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Domingues — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11MaiaClay (Indoor)A. Martin0 - 22.0453%LOST
2026-10-05BragaClayV. Gaubas2 - 06.0084%LOST
2026-09-28PortoClayM. Geerts2 - 12.5062%LOST
2026-09-27PortoClayV. Ursu2 - 02.2359%WON
2026-09-24M25 SetubalHardR. Bertrand2 - 02.9768%LOST
2026-09-22M25 SetubalHardR. Izquierdo Luque2 - 1——WON
2026-09-16M25 Sintra 2HardJ. Penzlin2 - 11.3668%LOST
2026-07-18EstorilClayT. Skatov1 - 24.2777%LOST
2026-07-01M25 Figueira da FozHardF. Andaloro0 - 22.3159%LOST
2026-06-25M25 PortoHardT. Torres2 - 02.9868%LOST

A. Martin — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)D. Ajdukovic1 - 22.7665%WON
2026-10-11MaiaClay (Indoor)J. Domingues0 - 21.8153%WON
2026-10-07Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayA. Moro Canas0 - 24.2377%LOST
2026-10-05Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayL. Wessels1 - 1 RET1.5958%WON
2026-09-29Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayS. Pieri2 - 02.1255%LOST
2026-09-27ColumbusHard (Indoor)O. Okonkwo0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-21San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardK. Hance2 - 01.2875%LOST
2026-09-07TullnClayS. Gulin0 - 22.2257%LOST
2026-09-06TullnClayJ. Gundacker2 - 01.2279%WON
2026-08-30M15 ViennaClayM. Plunger2 - 01.3272%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Joao Domingues or Andres Martin?

Andres Martin is favourite at 1.81, which is a 53% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Joao Domingues vs Andres Martin?

Joao Domingues is 2.04 and Andres Martin is 1.81, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.

What is the head-to-head between Joao Domingues and Andres Martin?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Joao Domingues vs Andres Martin?

Our model makes it Andres Martin to win at 1.81 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event